FORM 6-K
Table of Contents

 

 

Securities and Exchange Commission

Washington, D.C. 20549

Form 6-K

Report of Foreign Issuer

Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d/16 of

the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

February 2011

AEGON N.V.

AEGONplein 50

2591 TV THE HAGUE

The Netherlands

 

 

 


Table of Contents

AEGON’s Embedded Value 2009 Report, dated May 12, 2010, is attached as an appendix and incorporated herein by reference. The Embedded Value 2009 Report, as included in the appendix, reflects some minor adjustments to the Embedded Value 2009 Report as referred to in our Report on Form 6-K furnished to the SEC on May 12, 2010.

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.

 

   

AEGON N.V.

(Registrant)

Date: February 24, 2011     By   /s/    E. Lagendijk
        E. Lagendijk
        Executive Vice President and General Counsel


Table of Contents
LOGO   THE HAGUE, MAY 12, 2010

LOGO

EMBEDDED VALUE

2009

 

 

 

    LIFE INSURANCE       PENSIONS       INVESTMENTS


Table of Contents

Table of contents

 

1.

       Highlights      2   

1.1    Introduction

     2   

1.2    Overview of embedded value life insurance and total embedded value

     4   

1.3    New business

     5   

2.

       Economic Assumptions      6   

3.

       Reconciliation of total capital base to adjusted net worth      7   

4.

       Outcome      9   

4.1    Value components

     9   

4.2    Movement analysis of embedded value life insurance

     12   

5.

       Sensitivities      17   

5.1    Embedded value life insurance sensitivity

     17   

5.2    Value of new business sensitivity

     18   
Addendum 1: Movement analysis per region and product segment      19   
   AEGON Group      20   
   Americas      21   
   The Netherlands      22   
   United Kingdom      23   
   Other Countries      24   
Addendum 2: Embedded Value 2009 by new reporting segments      25   
Addendum 3: Breakdown of Other Countries by regions      28   
Addendum 4: Outcome based on the regulatory surplus requirement      33   

Addendum 5: Recoverability of DPAC

     34   

Addendum 6: Exchange rates

     35   
Addendum 7: Methodology      36   
   Scope      36   
   Methodology and definitions      37   
   Operating assumptions      38   
   Economic assumptions      39   
   Embedded options and guarantees      40   
   Required capital      40   
Addendum 8: Detailed economic assumptions      41   
Glossary and abbreviations      45   
   Glossary      45   
   Abbreviations      48   
Disclaimers      49   

 

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1.  Highlights

1.1  Introduction

AEGON has long used embedded value as a management tool for its life insurance operations. AEGON’s management believes that embedded value, in conjunction with other publicly disclosed financial information, can provide valuable additional information for analysts and investors to assess a reasonable range of values inherent in the business. The disclosure includes sensitivity analyses reflecting certain risks and drivers of the realization of embedded value.

Embedded value life insurance (EVLI) is an estimate of the economic value of a company’s existing life insurance business and is to a large extent actuarially determined. EVLI should not be viewed as a substitute for AEGON’s primary financial statements.

EVLI represents the contributed capital invested in AEGON’s life operations, available surplus or adjusted net worth (ANW), and the value of in-force life business (ViF). The latter equals the present value of expected future profits arising from the existing book of life insurance business, including new business sold in the reporting period, less the cost of capital. Future new business that is sold after the valuation date is not reflected in this value, although certain assumptions such as unit costs reflect a going concern basis.

Total embedded value (TEV) is an additional measure used by management in considering shareholders’ interest in the value of the existing business. TEV represents the sum of the embedded value life insurance, the IFRS book value of all other business that is not included in EVLI (other activities) and the adjustments in respect of holding companies (holding activities). The holding activities largely represent the market value of AEGON’s debt, capital securities and other net liabilities. IFRS measures have been used to value the holding activities, as this is the accounting basis on which AEGON’s primary financial statements are based.

EVLI calculations use local regulatory accounting principles rather than company specific accounting principles (e.g. IFRS) as these regulatory requirements determine when profits can be distributed to shareholders. As the base case, EVLI has been prepared using required capital on the internal surplus basis. This presentation has been adopted, as this is how the business is managed and is consistent with European Embedded Value (EEV) Principles.

This report uses the IFRS reporting structure of 2009. Additional information showing the embedded value at year-end 2009 under the new reporting structure for 2010 is shown in Addendum 2.

The regional groupings used throughout the report are as follows:

  ¿  

Americas consists of AEGON Canada, AEGON USA, AEGON’s 50% interest in Mongeral (Brazil) and AEGON’s 49% interest in Seguros Argos (Mexico);

  ¿  

Other Countries consists of AEGON’s operations in the Czech Republic (including the 90% interest in its partnership in the AEGON Pension Fund), Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, Romania, Turkey, Variable Annuities in Europe, AEGON Spain, AEGON’s interests in four partnerships in Spain, AEGON’s 35% interest in La Mondiale Participations (France) and AEGON’s 50% interest in its partnership in China.

A breakdown of the Other Country results by region is shown in Addendum 3.

Other activities includes the IFRS book value of AEGON’s 26% interest in AEGON Religare (India) AEGON’s 75% interest in Religare AEGON Asset Management (India), AEGON’s 49% interest in AEGON Industrial Fund Management (China) and AEGON’s 50% interest in Caixa Terrassa Vida y Pensiones in Spain.

 

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The methodology AEGON uses to calculate EVLI is described in addendum 7. This methodology is consistent with EEV Principles. This disclosure document is in compliance with the additional guidance on minimum required disclosures of sensitivities and other items under EEV, as published by the CFO Forum in October 2005.

 

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1.2  Overview of embedded value life insurance and total embedded value

A high level overview of embedded value life insurance and total embedded value is contained in table 1. More details on these values, the principles and assumptions used plus the sensitivity of these values to changes in underlying assumptions are included in this document and should be read carefully in connection with the information presented below. All figures in this document are presented on an after tax basis unless otherwise stated.

Table 1

 

Embedded value

(amounts in millions unless stated otherwise, after tax)

   Year-end
2009
EUR
    Year-end
2008
EUR
    %  

Life business

        

Adjusted net worth (ANW)

     13,216        11,123        19   

Free surplus (FS)

     2,404        2,335        3   

Required surplus (RS)

     10,811        8,788        23   
   

Value of in-force life business (ViF)

     10,081        11,813        (15

Present value future profits (PVFP)

     13,035        14,184        (8

Cost of capital (CoC)

     (2,955     (2,371     25   
   

Embedded value life insurance (EVLI)

     23,296        22,936        2   

Other activities

        

IFRS book value

     1,137        948        20   
   

Total embedded value before holding activities

     24,434        23,883        2   
   

Holding activities

     (6,663     (5,346     25   

Market value of debt, capital securities & other net liabilities

     (6,187     (4,840     28   

Present value holding expenses

     (477     (506     (6

Total embedded value (TEV)

     17,770        18,538        (4

Value of preferred share capital

     (1,301     (1,343     (3

Total embedded value (TEV) attributable to common shareholders

     16,469        17,194        (4

TEV attributable to common shareholders per share (EUR)

     9.65        11.35        (15

The most important items impacting the change in embedded value life insurance during 2009 are1:

  ¿  

Embedded value operating return2 of EUR 1.3 billion, consisting of EUR 0.6 billion for in-force performance and EUR 0.8 billion for new business value.

  ¿  

A negative investment variance of EUR (0.4) billion and an adverse impact of EUR (0.6) billion from economic assumption changes.

  ¿  

Net capital movements into the life operations increased the EVLI by EUR 0.4 billion.

  ¿  

The weakening of the US dollar against the euro was partially offset by the strengthening of the British pound, reducing the EVLI by EUR (0.2) billion. If the figures in this table had been prepared on a constant currency basis, EVLI would have increased by 2% and TEV would have decreased by 4%.

The value of other activities increased to EUR 1.1 billion.

Debt, capital securities and other net liabilities, which includes the convertible core capital securities from Vereniging AEGON funded by the Dutch State, increased by EUR 1.3 billion, due to a EUR 1.1 billion increase in debt and capital securities and a EUR 0.2 billion increase in Other Net Liabilities.

1 For a more detailed analysis, please refer to section 4.2 ‘Movement analysis of embedded value life insurance’.

2 For embedded value operating margins on a constant currency basis, please refer to addendum 1 ‘movement analysis per region and product segment’.

 

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Debt securities increased by EUR 1.1 billion as a result of an increase in the market value of debt (EUR 1.4 billion) and the issuance of senior debt (EUR 1.8 billion). The increase in debt was netted against assets that remain in the holding after allocations to net capital contributions to life operations and other activities (EUR 0.3 billion), interest and coupons on debt and capital securities, including the coupon and premium on the convertible core capital securities (EUR 0.6 billion) and dividends to preferred share holders (EUR 0.1 billion). The above increases were partially offset by the repayment of EUR 1.0 billion convertible core capital securities supported by the issuance of common shares during 2009, and currency exchange rate movements (EUR 0.2 billion).

1.3  New business

The profitability of the policies sold in 2009 can be measured by the gross value of new business, which is equal to the value of new business (VNB) generated by new business sold during the reporting period, grossed up at the relevant corporate tax rate and adjusted for the cost of carrying required capital on the internal surplus basis.

Table 2

 

Value of new business

(amounts in millions)

   2009
EUR
     2008
EUR
     %  

Gross value of new business

     1,199         1,369         (12

Tax

     (253      (317      (20

Cost of capital

     (178      (215      (17

Value of new business

 

     767         837         (8

Table 3

 

Value of new business

(amounts in millions, after tax)

   2009
EUR
     2008
EUR
     %  

Americas

     293         412         (29

The Netherlands

     184         43         -   

United Kingdom

     170         234         (27

Other Countries

     120         148         (19

Asia

     4         20         (80

Central and Eastern Europe

     46         74         (38

Other European Countries

     82         54         52   

Variable Annuity Europe

     (11         -   

Total

 

     767         837         (8

The value of new business decreased 8% from 2008 (decreased 7% if calculated on a constant currency basis).3

3 For a more detailed analysis, please refer to section 4.2 ‘Movement analysis of embedded value life insurance’.

 

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2.  Economic Assumptions

The economic assumptions for AEGON’s main markets in 2009 and 2008 are presented in table 4. The assumptions are set using a market based approach with rates that can vary by country unit and change from year to year taking into account available empirical data.

Further detail on the setting of discount rates and the economic assumptions in other countries is described in addendum 7 and 8 respectively.

Table 4

 

Economic assumptions 2009

 

   United States      The Netherlands      United Kingdom  

Discount rate

     8.9%         7.4%         8.8%   

Equity returns

     8.9%         7.4%         8.8%   

Property returns

     8.0%         6.7%         8.8%   

Risk free fixed interest returns (A)

     3.9%         3.8%         4.2%   

Net credit spread on fixed interest (bps) (B)

     290         124         167   

Inflation rate

     2.0%         2.0%         2.0%   

Tax rate

     35.5%         25.5%         28.0%   
   
                            

Economic assumptions 2008

 

   United States      The Netherlands      United Kingdom  

Discount rate

     7.2%         7.0%         7.9%   

Equity returns

     7.2%         7.0%         7.9%   

Property returns

     6.5%         6.7%         7.9%   

Risk free fixed interest returns (A)

     2.3%         3.4%         3.4%   

Net credit spread on fixed interest (bps) (B)

     606         527         388   

Inflation rate

     2.0%         2.0%         2.0%   

Tax rate

     35.5%         25.5%         28.0%   

(A) Risk free fixed interest returns correspond to the 10-year government bond yield. The table above shows start rates only. Refer to table 29 for more detail.

(B) Average net credit spread in basis points (bps) of all corporate bonds, mortgages, loans, etc. over the ‘fixed interest returns’. The table above shows start rates only. Refer to table 29 for more detail.

All economic assumptions are reviewed each year and adjusted if appropriate. All assumptions reflect a going concern. The currency exchange rates are summarized in addendum 6: Exchange rates.

The main changes for 2009 are increases in the short-term risk free fixed interest return across all countries. The risk discount rate is determined from the average of the current and ultimate risk free fixed interest returns (shown in Table 29) plus the risk margin. The risk margin to determine equity returns and the discount rate remained at 4%, except for the Netherlands where the risk margin remained at 3% to reflect the substantial de-risking of their business profile. The other feature across all countries has been a substantial decrease in initial corporate spreads.

 

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3. Reconciliation of total capital base to adjusted net worth

The embedded value life insurance is not based on international financial reporting standards (IFRS). Rather, it is based on local regulatory accounting. As the base case, EVLI has been prepared using required capital on the internal surplus basis. The following reconciliation presents the adjustments to the total capital base under IFRS to arrive at the ANW that is based on local regulatory accounting rules.

Table 5

 

Reconciliation of total capital base to ANW

(amounts in EUR millions)

   2009     2008     %  

 

Total capital

        
   

AEGON shareholders’ equity (A)

     12,164        6,055        101   
   

Capital securities & subordinated debt & (B)

     6,839        7,901        (13
   

Minority interest

     10        6        67   
   

Senior debt related to insurance activities (C)

     958        69        -   
                          
   

Total capital base

     19,971        14,031        42   
   

Other net liabilities (D)

     (1     (180     (99
                          
   

Total capital base and other net liabilities

     19,970        13,851        44   
   

Capital in units

        
   

Americas

     12,207        7,629        60   
   

The Netherlands

     3,544        2,954        20   
   

United Kingdom

     2,485        1,320        88   
   

Other countries

     1,733        1,948        (11
   

Asia

     60        397        (85
   

Central and Eastern Europe

     703        645        9   
   

Other European Countries

     930        906        3   
   

VA Europe

     41          -   
                          
   

Total

     19,970        13,851        44   
   

Allocated to

        
   

Life subsidiaries

     18,833        12,903        46   
   

Other activities

     1,137        948        20   
                          
   

Total

     19,970        13,851        44   
   

Reconciliation capital in life subsidiaries to adjusted net worth

        
   

Capital in life subsidiaries

     18,833        12,903        46   
   

Adjustments to local equity

     (5,617     (1,780     216   
                          
   

Adjusted net worth (ANW)

     13,216        11,123        19   

(A) Including the preferred share capital (2009: EUR 2,122 million, 2008: EUR 2,114 million).

(B) Including convertible core capital securities (2009: EUR 2 billion, 2008: EUR 3 billion).

(C) Borrowings (of which related to insurance activities): EUR 7,485 million (EUR 958 million) in 2009 and EUR 5,339 million (EUR 69 million) in 2008.

(D) Carried at the holding companies.

The capital base is largely invested in the life subsidiaries. The remaining capital allocated to other activities is included in total embedded value at IFRS book value. In the reconciliation, the capital allocated to life subsidiaries is adjusted to local regulatory accounting. The largest part of the adjustment relates to the non-admissibility on a regulatory basis of DPAC/VOBA of the modeled life business 4.

4 The non-admissibility of certain assets on a local basis simultaneously decreases equity while increasing future profits as the margins that are available to amortize these intangible assets on an IFRS basis go straight to the bottom-line under regulatory accounting. In other words, the decrease in equity when going from IFRS to the local basis is largely offset by an increase in the value of the in-force business.

 

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The life insurance DPACs in certain countries, most significantly the Netherlands (EUR 0.6 billion), are not eliminated, as they are admissible assets under their regulatory accounting. The impact of the elimination of inadmissible DPAC/VOBA relating to the modeled life business equals EUR (13.9) billion, asset related differences amount to EUR 2.0 billion, reserve related differences amount to EUR 5.4 billion and the balance of the adjustments, EUR 0.9 billion, is explained by a number of smaller adjustments, including deferred tax and goodwill on moving from IFRS to regulatory accounting. The asset valuation differences are down substantially from 2008, primarily due to the reduction in unrealized losses from the end-2008 levels that are included in IFRS but which are not required under regulatory reporting in the Americas. The reserve valuation differences are up on 2009 due to an increase in the Americas resulting from certain liabilities being adjusted to reflect market changes under regulatory accounting but remaining fixed under IFRS partially offset by a fall in the UK as only statutory reserves for annuities reflect the impact of lower bond yields.

The differences between embedded value and the accounting treatment of DPAC are discussed in addendum 5.

 

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4. Outcome

This section presents the EVLI and TEV as of December 31, 2009. All profits are in millions of euro and based on local regulatory accounting net of reinsurance and after tax. The level of required surplus is based on internal surplus requirements.

4.1  Value components

The values under the internal surplus requirements are:

Table 6

 

Embedded value components

 

(amounts in EUR millions, after tax)

   Americas     The
Netherlands
    United
Kingdom
    Other
countries
    Total 2009  
   

Life business

            

Adjusted net worth (ANW)

     8,527        3,199        673        817        13,216   

Free surplus (FS)

     822        1,114        177        292        2,404   

Required surplus (RS)

     7,705        2,085        496        525        10,811   
   

Value of in-force life business (ViF)

     4,888        2,315        1,918        960        10,081   

Present value future profits (PVFP)

     6,873        2,934        2,082        1,146        13,035   

Cost of capital (CoC)

     (1,985     (619     (164     (186     (2,955
   

Embedded value life insurance (EVLI)

     13,415        5,514        2,591        1,777        23,296   
   

Other activities

            

IFRS book value

     616        355        (153     320        1,137   
   

Total embedded value per region

     14,031        5,869        2,437        2,096        24,434   
   

Holding activities

             (6,663

Market value of debt, capital securities & other net liabilities

             (6,187

Present value holding expenses

             (477

Total embedded value (TEV)

             17,770   

Value of preferred share capital

             (1,301
   

 

Total embedded value (TEV) attributable to common shareholders

 

                                  

 

 

 

 

16,469

 

 

  

 

The solvency requirement on which the business is managed is based on the more stringent of the regulatory requirements and Standard and Poor’s local capital adequacy models at a AA level, plus any additional internally imposed requirements, if applicable. The exception is AEGON’s partnership in France, La Mondiale Participations, which is managed on local regulatory requirements. This then forms the basis for the solvency requirements for that business throughout this report.

The main areas covered by other activities are banking (EUR 0.5 billion), distribution (EUR 0.1 billion), general insurance (EUR 0.3 billion) and the company’s pension and employee benefit schemes (EUR 0.1 billion).

The value of other activities increased to EUR 1.1 billion. Other activities increased mainly due to a change in treatment of certain intercompany loans between the life companies and other activities in the UK, offset by a reduction in the value of the staff pension scheme in the US and expense and interest charges at the holding company in the UK.

 

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The embedded value life insurance increased due to positive performance on the in-force business and the contribution from value of new business being largely offset by the negative impact of investment experience and changes in economic assumptions. For a detailed discussion of the change in embedded value life insurance from end of year 2008 to end of year 2009 refer to section 4.2.

Non-recurring expenses

In established operations, certain incurred expenses are considered non-recurring. For newer operations, such as China or Czech Republic, the value of new business and the projection of expenses in the embedded value life insurance reflect longer term expected run rate acquisition and maintenance expenses. In total an amount of EUR 40 million, after tax, was considered as exceptional expenses (Americas EUR 12 million, UK EUR 13 million and Other countries EUR 15 million), and not included in the derivation of acquisition and maintenance expense assumptions.

Employee pension plan costs

Expense assumptions in the embedded value include the cost of providing employee pension benefits where appropriate. The allowance for these costs fully reflects the long-term cost of providing pensions and is consistent with the allowance for pensions elsewhere in the calculation of the total embedded value. Any pension asset or liability has been included at the IFRS book value. For the Americas, where a pension asset is already reflected in IFRS book value (in other activities), no contribution holidays with respect to this pension asset are taken into account in the pension contribution expenses in the embedded value.

 

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Free surplus

Table 7

 

Reconciliation of free surplus

 

(amounts in EUR millions, after tax)

   Americas     The
Netherlands
    United
Kingdom
    Other
countries
    Total 2009     Total 2008  
   

Free surplus (BOY)

     600        971        364        399        2,335        1,025   

Change in MV adjustment on FS

     4        -          -          13        17        (32

Return on free surplus

     20        112        9        19        160        82   

Earnings on in-force

     2,219        336        456        138        3,149        (755

Release of required surplus on inforce

     (1,246     (159     (13     70        (1,348     3,267   

Investment in new business

     (965     (141     (227     (119     (1,452     (1,958

New business first year strain

     (345     (38     (155     (93     (631     (712

Required surplus on new business

     (620     (103     (72     (27     (822     (1,246

Capital movements

     206        (9     252        (38     412        518   

Currency exchange differences

     (16     0        33        (3     14        (80

Other

     (1     4        (699     (188     (883     267   

Free surplus (EOY)

     822        1,114        177        292        2,404        2,335   

The economic value of free surplus in the life business increased during 2009 mainly due to:

  ¿  

Return on free surplus of EUR 0.2 billion.

  ¿  

Overall earnings on in-force operations based on local statutory accounting of EUR 3.1 billion.

  ¿  

In the Americas the earnings on in-force of EUR 2.2 billion reflected substantial earnings from life, fixed annuities, accident and health, institutional products and life reinsurance.

  ¿  

In the Netherlands the earnings on in-force of EUR 0.3 billion is lower than 2008, largely due to a loss on the hedge result, as a result of an increase in the risk free rate, more than offsetting an improvement in operational earnings.

  ¿  

In the UK, earnings on in-force have improved significantly on 2008 due to improved market conditions in 2009.

  ¿  

Net capital injections of EUR 0.4 billion.

partially offset by

  ¿  

A strengthening of required surplus on in-force, which had a negative impact on free surplus of EUR (1.3) billion.

  ¿  

In the Americas, the strengthening of required surplus on in-force was largely due to substantial increases in required surplus for fixed annuities and life and to a lesser extent pensions and life reinsurance.

  ¿  

In the Netherlands, the increase in required surplus is largely due to an increase in S&P capital requirements, related to longevity.

  ¿  

Investment in new business, including new business strain and required capital on new business, of EUR (1.5) billion. This is lower than the investment in new business in 2008, largely due to the run off of institutional spread-based business and lower fixed annuity volumes in the Americas and generally lower production in the UK in 2009.

  ¿  

Other of EUR (0.9) billion. In the UK, other is primarily related to the strengthening of the statutory valuation basis and a change in treatment of certain intercompany loans between the life companies and other activities. In Other countries, Other is largely related to the sale of the Taiwan life insurance business.

Further detail on the Reconciliation of free surplus for Other countries is shown in Addendum 3.

 

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4.2 Movement analysis of embedded value life insurance

The change in embedded value life insurance from year to year is split into the following components5. The main items per region are explained in further detail after table 8 and table 10.

Table 8

 

Movement analysis 2009

(amounts in EUR millions, after tax)

   Americas     The
Netherlands
    United
Kingdom
    Other
countries
    Total 2009  

Embedded value life insurance BoY

     12,879        5,734        2,617        1,706        22,936   

Value of new business (VNB)

     293        184        171        120        767   

Gross value of new business

     454        291        253        202        1,199   

Tax

     (54     (74     (71     (54     (253

Cost of capital (after tax)

     (107     (32     (11     (27     (178

 

In-force performance

     (134     622        (15     87        560   

Unwind of discount

     916        455        197        131        1,700   

Operating variances

     (1,028     (39     (13     (65     (1,145

Mortality/morbidity

     13        1        3        (2     16   

Persistency

     (240     (34     9        (39     (303

Maintenance expenses

     69        19        (12     0        76   

Exceptional expenses

     (12     0        (13     (15     (40

Other

     (858     (26     0        (10     (893

Changes in operating assumptions

     (22     206        (199     21        5   

Mortality/morbidity

     199        (92     (44     9        72   

Persistency

     66        13        (93     (53     (67

Maintenance expenses

     135        76        (17     13        207   

Other

     (422     209        (44     51        (206

Embedded value operating return

     159        806        155        207        1,327   

Variance from long-term inv. return

     454        (819     (96     65        (396

Change in economic assumptions

     (66     (260     (264     (16     (607

Currency exchange differences

     (342     0        189        (0     (153

Miscellaneous impacts

     124        62        (262     (146     (222

Embedded value total return

     330        (211     (279     109        (51

Capital movements

     206        (9     252        (38     412   

Embedded value life insurance EoY

     13,415        5,514        2,591        1,777        23,296   

Other activities

             1,137   

 

Holding activities

             (6,663

Total embedded value

                                     17,770   

Embedded value operating margin (A)

     1.2     14.1     5.5     12.4     5.8

(A) Embedded value operating margin is calculated on a constant currency basis. See addendum 1, tables 14 to 17 for details.

 

5 Refer to addendum 1 ‘Movement analysis per region and product segment’, tables 14 to 17, for a split per region and per product segment

 

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Return on embedded value

The overall embedded value operating margin was 5.8% in 2009 (6.8% in 2008). The embedded value total margin was (0.2)% in 2009 ((13.4)% in 2008).

Currency exchange differences

A currency variance of EUR (153) million was primarily caused by a weakening of the US dollar against the euro, partially offset by a strengthening of the British pound.

Capital movements

Capital movements include transfers between life operations, holding activities and non-life operations.

Americas

 

  ¿  

The embedded value operating margin on a constant currency basis was 1.2%.

  ¿  

In-force variance was negative overall due to adverse persistency experience for variable annuities and life reinsurance business and adverse spread experience on institutional products (EUR (0.9) billion), partially offset by small positive spread variances on other lines of business, shown under Other. There is also a negative impact for statutory reserve strengthening for variable annuities shown in Other partially offset by a number of items including a small impact from the Monumental Life securitization. These adverse impacts were partially offset by favorable mortality/morbidity for variable annuities, pensions and BOLI/COLI and favorable maintenance expenses across most lines of business.

  ¿  

The change in operating assumptions was driven by lower mortality assumptions for Life and Life reinsurance business, improved persistency assumptions for institutional products and reduced maintenance expenses across most lines of business, more than offset by higher assumed reserve financing costs, coming through Other, as well as a number of other small negative impacts.

  ¿  

The positive long-term investment variance reflected gains linked to the improvement in equity markets and the impact of increases in fixed interest rates, partially offset by a negative credit variance due to higher defaults than expected and narrower credit spreads than expected.

  ¿  

The net change in economic assumptions was largely driven by the impact of higher risk free fixed interest returns and higher returns on equity, more than offset by the impact of a higher risk discount rate and the impact of higher assumed defaults on commercial mortgages and collateralized mortgage obligations.

  ¿  

The miscellaneous impacts reflected modeling improvements largely related to Life and institutional products.

The Netherlands

 

  ¿  

The embedded value operating margin was 14.1%.

  ¿  

The main components of the in-force variance were unfavorable persistency experience partially offset by favorable maintenance expense experience for Pensions business. Other relates to the impact of policy improvements for some Life investment contracts.

  ¿  

The change in operating assumptions reflected a large negative impact from longer assumed longevity in Pensions, partially offset by lower future maintenance expenses. The changes under other are mainly related to the impact of the change in asset mix of policyholder funds from bonds to equities and the impact of increased fees on Pensions business.

  ¿  

The main component of the negative variance on long-term investments was the combined impacts of a hedge program and a significant decrease in the guarantee reserve6 related to

6 For the details of the valuation of the guarantee reserve, please refer to addendum 7 ‘Methodology.

 

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traditional policies with profit sharing and unit linked policies with guarantees and an adverse impact from lower property returns. These were partially offset by realized gains on fixed interest bonds during the year.

  ¿  

For economic assumption changes, the increase in the risk discount rate had a negative impact, though this was partially offset by the increase in the equity return assumption. The risk free interest rates increased for longer durations which had a positive impact however at the shortest durations the 2009 risk free rate was lower than 2008 and this had a particularly adverse impact on profit-sharing for Pensions. Whilst net credit spreads generally reduced, there is a small positive impact in here from increased expected spreads on asset backed securities and structured credits.

  ¿  

The miscellaneous impacts reflected modeling improvements partially offset by a change in S&P requirements.

United Kingdom

 

  ¿  

The embedded value operating margin on a constant currency basis was 5.5% .

  ¿  

The in-force variance included small positive impacts from persistency and mortality on Pensions, offset by a small adverse on maintenance expenses, related to the run-off of the Employee Benefits business, and exceptional expenses.

  ¿  

Changes to operating assumptions included a negative impact from the strengthening of persistency assumptions on Pensions business and negative impacts from mortality and maintenance expenses on Life business. Other primarily relates to an increase in investment related expenses.

  ¿  

The variance from long-term investment return was negative largely due to the fall in credit spreads on Life business, partly offset by increases in fee income on Pensions, due to equity market improvements and narrowing spreads on corporate bonds.

  ¿  

On economic assumptions, there is a negative impact mainly from Pensions business as a result of the increased risk discount rate partly offset by the increase in equity returns and a negative impact on Life as a result of the fall in net credit spreads.

  ¿  

In Miscellaneous the largest impact is a change in the treatment of certain intercompany loans between the life insurance companies and Other Activities, which has the impact of reducing the EVLI and increasing Other Activities by EUR 0.2 billion. There are also a number of smaller impacts including positive impacts from modeling adjustments and a one-off valuation reserve release, offset by an exceptional charge related to a program to improve the consistency of customer records and a one-off contribution to the staff pension scheme.

Other countries

 

  ¿  

The embedded value operating margin on a constant currency basis was 12.4%.

  ¿  

The in-force variance arose largely due to a negative persistency variance in CEE (Hungary pensions and mortgages) and Spain and exceptional expenses. Other represents a one-off impact of lower than expected contributions to pension schemes in Hungary as a result of the recession.

  ¿  

The change in operating assumptions was positive due to lower asset management expenses and increased fees on unitized business in Hungary, as well as increased profits from profit sharing in Spain, shown in Other, and lower maintenance expense assumptions in Poland, offset by the strengthening of persistency assumptions in Hungary and Spain.

  ¿  

The variance from long-term investment return was largely due to improved returns on fixed interest in Hungary, as well as positive impacts from equity market improvements in Hungary, Poland and VA Europe.

  ¿  

Miscellaneous relates to the sale of the Taiwan business and the impact of the changes in pension legislation across CEE.

 

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Value of new business

Value of new business represents the value created by new business sold during the reporting period. Table 9 links this value to modeled written premium7.

Table 9

 

Modeled new business    Premium business      Deposit business      VNB          
APE(A) and deposits                                  

 

(amounts in EUR millions)

   APE (A)      Deposits (B )                      
      2009      2008      2009      2008      2009     2008      %  

 

Americas

     997         1,097         17,753         30,151         293        412         (29

The Netherlands

     328         300         -         -         184        43         -   

United Kingdom

     1,070         1,514         -         -         170        234         (27

Other countries

     357         409         525         98         120        148         (19
Asia      31         63         3         24         4        20         (80

China

     24         16         -         -         1        3         (67

Taiwan

     7         47         3         24         2        16         (88
Central and Eastern Europe      79         109         119         65         46        74         (38

Czech Republic

     12         10         49         21         6        3         100   

Hungary

     17         32         32         25         24        37         (35

Poland

     38         58         24         11         8        20         (60

Romania

     1         -         1         7         1        8         (88

Slovakia

     10         9         2         0         7        7         -   

Turkey

     1            12              1           -   
Other European Countries      247         237         -         10         82        54         52   

France

     99         96         -         -         4        4         -   

Spain

     148         141         -         10         77        50         54   
Variable Annuity Europe      -            402              (11        -   

Total

     2,753         3,321         18,278         30,249         767        837         (8
     

VNB

     611         592         156         246                             

(A) APE = recurring premium + 1/10 single premium.

(B) Including on and off balance sheet deposits.

Table 10 shows VNB as a ratio of the present value of new business premiums, as well as calculated internal rates of return.

 

 

 

7 Refer to addendum 1 ‘Movement analysis per region and product segment’ for the split of VNB per region and per reporting segment

 

 

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Table 10

 

2009 VNB summary    Premium business     Deposit business                
(amounts in EUR millions)                         
     

VNB

 

    

PVNBP

 

    

VNB/
PVNBP

 

   

VNB/ APE

 

   

VNB

 

   

PVNBP

 

    

VNB/
PVNBP

 

   

VNB/
Deposits

 

    Total VNB     Total IRR  

Americas

     142         4,690         3.0     14.2     151        23,589         0.6     0.9     293        11.7

The Netherlands

     184         2,763         6.7     56.0     -        -         -        -        184        17.4

United Kingdom

     170         6,938         2.5     15.9     -        -         -        -        170        14.0

Other countries

     115         2,690         4.3     32.2     5        1,230         0.4     0.9     120        38.0

Asia

     3         161         1.8     9.5     1        13         5.2     21.7     4        10.4

China

     1         127         1.1     5.9     -        -         -        -        1        11.5

Taiwan

     2         34         4.4     22.5     1        13         5.2     21.7     2        9.6

Central and Eastern Europe

     31         463         6.6     38.7     15        815         1.8     12.6     46        30.9

Czech Republic

     4         78         5.2     32.7     2        187         0.9     3.5     6        16.3

Hungary

     14         111         12.3     79.0     10        330         3.0     31.7     24        37.5

Poland

     6         208         2.9     15.9     2        198         0.9     7.2     8        21.1

Romania

     0         3         7.6     29.2     1        24         3.1     95.9     1        23.9

Slovakia

     6         62         10.3     63.1     1        24         2.2     28.7     7        33.6

Turkey

     0         1         31.5     52.5     0        52         0.4     1.8     1        17.1

Other European Countries

     82         2,066         3.9     33.0     -        -         -        -        82        47.8

France

     4         1,141         0.4     4.3     -        -         -        -        4        8.9

Spain

     77         925         8.4     52.3     -        -         -        -        77        >50.0

Variable Annuity Europe

     -         -         -        -        (11     402         (2.7 )%      (2.7 )%      (11     3.0

Total

     611         17,080         3.6     22.2     156        24,819         0.6     0.9     767        18.3

In the Americas, VNB decreased 32% in US dollars (down 29% in euros), largely due to a fall in production, except for pensions, driven by more retirement plan sales. The main contributor to the decrease in VNB was institutional products as the spread-based business was placed in run-off early in 2009. Overall IRR in the Americas decreased slightly from 12.4% in 2008 to 11.7% in 2009.

The significant increase in VNB in the Netherlands largely reflects higher margins and volumes of Life business. The IRR in the Netherlands increased from 10.8% in 2008 to 17.4% in 2009 due to business mix.

The reduction in VNB in the UK was driven by lower production across most product lines. The IRR improved from 13.5% in 2008 to 14.0% in 2009 due to business mix.

The decrease in VNB in Other Countries reflects lower sales in Hungary and Poland and adverse pension legislation changes across CEE, partially offset by improved production and business mix in Spain.

 

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5. Sensitivities

Table 11 and table 12 reflect the impact of changing the underlying assumptions on the EVLI and the VNB respectively. In each sensitivity scenario, only the stated assumption(s) has been changed, while keeping other assumptions equal to the ‘base case’. However, any discretionary elements or policyholder behavior assumptions directly impacted by the changed assumption (e.g. bonus rates or dynamic lapses) are assumed to vary with the scenario, if appropriate. The base case relates to the embedded value life insurance, i.e. to the value of the modeled life business. The sensitivity results include the impact on the allowances for financial options and guarantees.

5.1 Embedded value life insurance sensitivity

Table 11

 

Sensitivity analysis -

Embedded value life insurance

 

(amounts in EUR millions, after tax)

   Americas      The
Netherlands
     United
Kingdom
     Other
countries
     Total
2009
 

Base case embedded value life insurance 2009

     13,415         5,514         2,591         1,777         23,296   

Required surplus at regulatory solvency

     9%         4%         0%         2%         6%   

100 bps decrease in risk discount rate

     6%         8%         8%         6%         7%   

100 bps increase in risk discount rate

     -5%         -7%         -7%         -5%         -6%   

100 bps decrease in risk-free rate, all asset returns and RDR

     -1%         3%         4%         2%         0%   

100 bps increase in risk-free rate, all asset returns and RDR

     0%         -6%         -3%         -2%         -2%   

100 bps decrease in equity and property returns

     -1%         -6%         -4%         -1%         -3%   

100 bps increase in equity and property returns

     1%         6%         4%         1%         3%   

10% fall in equity markets

     -2%         -2%         -4%         -1%         -2%   

100 bps decrease in fixed interest

     -6%         2%         0%         -3%         -3%   

100 bps increase in fixed interest

     4%         -4%         0%         3%         2%   

10% decrease in lapse rates

     3%         0%         4%         3%         2%   

5% decrease in mortality/ morbidity rates for mortality/ morbidity exposure business

     6%         1%         0%         0%         4%   

5% decrease in mortality/ morbidity rates for longevity exposure business

     0%         -3%         -1%         -3%         -1%   

1% mortality/ morbidity improvement per year for the entire projection period

     8%         -6%         -3%         0%         3%   

10% decrease in maintenance expenses

     2%         2%         2%         2%         2%   

The impact of the change in discount rate on the value of the business depends on the timing of the future profits: the higher the average remaining duration, the higher the sensitivity and the asymmetry to changes in discount rates.

The difference in sensitivity to changes in investment returns between the regions mainly reflects the composition of the different in-force life portfolios and asset allocations. The asymmetry in sensitivity to investment returns can be attributed to the minimum guarantees in many products. As a result of these guarantees, future lower investment returns will not be fully offset by equally lower crediting rates.

 

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5.2 Value of new business sensitivity

Table 12

 

Sensitivity analysis -

Value of new business

 

(amounts in EUR millions, after tax)

   Americas      The
Netherlands
     United
Kingdom
     Other
Countries
     Total
2009
 

Base case value of new business 2009

     293         184         170         120         767   

100 bps decrease in risk discount rate

     37%         9%         19%         18%         23%   

100 bps increase in risk discount rate

     -31%         -7%         -16%         -14%         -19%   

100 bps decrease in risk-free rate, all asset returns and RDR

     -44%         4%         3%         1%         -15%   

100 bps increase in risk-free rate, all asset returns and RDR

     33%         -4%         -2%         0%         11%   

100 bps decrease in equity and property returns

     -5%         0%         -7%         -1%         -4%   

100 bps increase in equity and property returns

     5%         0%         8%         2%         4%   

100 bps decrease in fixed interest

     -67%         -4%         -4%         -12%         -30%   

100 bps increase in fixed interest

     59%         4%         5%         14%         27%   

10% decrease in lapse rates

     25%         2%         7%         10%         13%   

5% decrease in mortality/ morbidity rates for mortality/ morbidity exposure business

     29%         1%         2%         2%         12%   

5% decrease in mortality/ morbidity rates for longevity exposure business

     -1%         0%         -3%         1%         -1%   

1% mortality/ morbidity improvement per year for the entire projection period

     55%         -1%         -10%         2%         19%   

10% decrease in acquisition expenses

     13%         2%         9%         4%         8%   

10% decrease in maintenance expenses

     10%         1%         5%         5%         6%   

In general, the value of new business is more sensitive to changes in parameters than the in-force. A relatively small change in future profits can have a relatively large impact on a small VNB compared to the EVLI. The size and sign of the sensitivities depend on the profitability of the individual products as well as the composition of the new business portfolio within a region. However it should be noted that these sensitivities do not provide indication of future new business profitability under alternative conditions, as no allowance is made for the potential to re-price products.

 

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Addendum 1: Movement analysis per region and product segment

This addendum splits the movement analysis into product segments for AEGON as a whole and for the different regions. First, the AEGON total split by reporting segment is presented in euro and then the movement of the four regions per reporting segment is stated in euro except for the Americas and the United Kingdom which are stated in local currency with only the opening and closing value and the value of the other activities translated into euro. The product segments are in line with the product segments used for primary financial reporting under IFRS during 2009.

 

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AEGON Group

Table 13

 

Movement analysis 2009  

Pensions and asset
management

 

           Life and
protection
    Individual savings and retirement            Institutional products     Life Re-     Total  
(amounts in EUR millions, after tax)   Pensions     Asset
management
           Life     Accident
and health
    Fixed
annuities
    Variable
annuities
    Saving
Products
    Mutual
funds
           Institutional
guaranteed
products
    BOLI/
COLI
    insurance         

Embedded value life insurance BoY

    6,852        -          7,479        2,062        2,058        723        273        54          1,172        515        1,749        22,936   

Value of new business (VNB)

    150        -          428        26        107        (32     1        5          16        (3     68        767   

 

Gross value of new business

    237        -          664        39        155        (27     15        6          19        (3     95        1,199   

Tax

    (53     -          (161     (7     (18     5        (5     (1       (2     0        (11     (253

Cost of capital (after tax)

    (34     -          (74     (6     (30     (10     (8     -          (1     (0     (15     (178

 

In-force performance

    691        -          362        144        198        (177     26        (19       (711     (3     48        560   

 

Unwind of discount

    546        -          541        139        125        52        20        0          109        38        129        1,700   

Operating variances

    (8     -          (34     (13     46        (192     4        (20       (914     14        (29     (1,145

Changes in operating assumptions

    153        -          (145     18        27        (38     1        -          93        (55     (51     5   

 

Embedded value operating return

    841        -          790        170        305        (209     27        (14       (696     (5     117        1,327   

 

Variance from long-term inv. return

    (794     -          19        (44     (215     679        0        16          (48     4        (13     (396

 

Change in economic assumptions

    (171     -          (300     (27     (106     158        (1     1          (37     (73     (50     (607

 

Currency exchange differences

    93        -          (20     (38     (73     (16     0        (2       (23     (17     (57     (153

 

Miscellaneous impacts

    80        -          (631     6        (50     (15     1        3          318        51        15        (222

 

Embedded value total return

    49        -          (141     67        (139     597        27        3          (486     (40     12        (51

 

Capital movements

    413        -          (206     (1     227        179        (19     7          (271     2        82        412   

 

Embedded value life insurance EoY

    7,313        -                7,131        2,128        2,146        1,499        281        63                415        476        1,843        23,296   

Other activities

                              1,137   

Holding activities

                              (6,663

Total embedded value

                                                                                                            17,770   

Embedded value operating margin (A)

    12.3%        -                10.6%        8.4%        15.0%        (29.2 )%      10.1%        (26.3 )%              (60.0 )%      (1.0 )%      6.8%        5.8%   
VNB, PVNBP and APE  

Pensions and asset
management

 

           Life and
protection
    Individual savings and retirement            Institutional products     Life Re-     Total  
(amounts in EUR millions, after tax)   Pensions     Asset
management
           Life     Accident
and health
    Fixed
annuities
    Variable
annuities
    Saving
products
    Mutual
funds
           Institutional
guaranteed
products
    BOLI/
COLI
    insurance         

Value of new business 2009

    150        -          428        26        107        (32     1        5          16        (3     68        767   

Present value of new business premiums

    19,705        -          6,429        907        3,402        3,131        1,037        1,712          4,050        12        1,515        41,899   

APE(B)

    1,110        -          940        481        -        -        78        -          -        3        141        2,753   

Deposits

    6,005        -                -        -        3,402        3,121        0        1,712                4,038        -        -        18,278   

 

(A)

Embedded value operating margin is calculated on a constant currency basis. See tables 14 to 17 for details.

(B)

APE = recurring premium + 1/10 single premium.

 

      Embedded Value   LOGO    Page 20        


Table of Contents

Americas

Table 14

 

Movement analysis 2009  

Pensions and asset
management

 

        

Life and protection

 

   

Individual savings and retirement

 

           Institutional products     Life Re-     Total  

(amounts in USD millions unless stated

otherwise, after tax)

  Pensions     Asset 
management 
         Life    

Accident

and health

    Fixed
annuities
    Variable
annuities
    Saving 
products 
  Mutual
funds
           Institutional
guaranteed
products
    BOLI/
COLI
    insurance         

Embedded value life insurance BoY (EUR millions)

    894      -             3,920        1,804        2,058        715      -     54                1,172        515        1,749        12,879   

Embedded value life insurance BoY

    1,245      -       5,455        2,511        2,864        994      -     75          1,631        716        2,434        17,924   

 

Value of new business (VNB)

    64      -       85        22        150        (31   -     8          22        (4     96        412   

 

Gross value of new business

    78      -       166        31        218        (20   -     8          27        (4     134        639   

Tax

    (9   -       (21     (4     (25     2      -     (1       (3     0        (15     (76

Cost of capital (after tax)

    (6   -       (61     (6     (42     (13   -     0          (2     (0     (22     (151

 

In-force performance

    148      -       378        223        279        (253   -     (27       (1,001     (4     68        (188

 

Unwind of discount

    114      -       368        172        176        69      -     1          154        53        181        1,289   

Operating variances

    7      -       57        30        65        (269   -     (28       (1,286     20        (41     (1,446

Changes in operating assumptions

    27      -       (47     21        39        (53   -     0          131        (77     (72     (31

 

Embedded value operating return

    212      -       463        244        430        (284   -     (20       (979     (7     164        224   

 

Variance from long-term inv. return

    57      -       94        (68     (302     918      -     22          (68     5        (19     639   

 

Change in economic assumptions

    (11   -       119        (50     (150     222      -     1          (52     (103     (70     (93

 

Currency exchange differences

    (0   -       85        36        1        37      -     0          (0     (0     9        167   

 

Miscellaneous impacts

    (32   -       (266     21        (70     (23   -     4          447        72        22        175   

 

Embedded value total return

    225      -       495        184        (92     871      -     7          (652     (33     106        1,112   

 

Capital movements

    412      -       (386     (15     319        213      -     9          (381     3        115        289   

 

Embedded value life insurance EoY

    1,882      -       5,563        2,680        3,092        2,078      -     91          598        686        2,654        19,326   
   
                                                                                                         

Embedded value life insurance EoY (EUR millions)

    1,307      -       3,862        1,860        2,146        1,442      -     63          415        476        1,843        13,415   

Other activities (EUR millions)

                              616   

Total embedded value for Americas (EUR millions)

                                                                                                    14,031   

Embedded value operating margin

 

   

 

17.0%

 

  

 

  -

 

     

 

8.5%

 

  

 

   

 

9.7%

 

  

 

   

 

15.0%

 

  

 

   

 

(28.5

 

)% 

 

  -

 

   

 

(26.3

 

)% 

 

     

 

(60.0

 

)% 

 

   

 

(1.0

 

)% 

 

   

 

6.8%

 

  

 

   

 

1.2%

 

  

 

VNB, PVNBP and APE  

Pensions and asset
management

 

         Life and protection     Individual savings and retirement            Institutional products     Life Re-     Total  
(amounts in USD millions, after tax)   Pensions    

Asset 
management 

 

        

Life

 

   

Accident

and health

    Fixed
annuities
    Variable
annuities
    Saving 
products 
  Mutual
funds
           Institutional
guaranteed
products
    BOLI/
COLI
    insurance         

Value of new business 2009

    64      -       85        22        150        (31   -     8          22        (4     96        412   

Present value of new business premiums

    16,491      -       3,285        1,150        4,787        3,821      -     2,408          5,698        17        2,132        39,790   

APE (A)

    -      -       543        657        -        -      -     -          -        4        199        1,403   

Deposits

    8,283      -             -        -        4,787        3,820      -     2,408                5,682        -        -        24,980   

 

(A)

APE = recurring premium + 1/10 single premium.

 

      Embedded Value   LOGO    Page 21        


Table of Contents

The Netherlands

Table 15

 

Movement analysis 2009  

Pensions and asset
management

 

   

Life and
protection

 

   

Individual savings and retirement

 

   

Institutional products

 

   

Life Re-

   

Total

 
(amounts in EUR millions, after tax)   Pensions     Asset
management
    Life     Accident
and health
    Fixed
annuities
    Variable
annuities
    Saving
products
    Mutual
funds
        Institutional
    guaranteed
     products
    BOLI/
COLI
    insurance         

Embedded value life insurance BoY (EUR millions)

    3,596        -        1,884        254        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        5,734   

Embedded value life insurance BoY

    3,596        -        1,884        254        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        5,734   

 

Value of new business (VNB)

    30        -        146        8        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        184   

 

Gross value of new business

    71        -        207        13        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        291   

Tax

    (18     -        (53     (3     -        -        -        -        -        -        -        (74

Cost of capital (after tax)

    (23     -        (9     (1     -        -        -        -        -        -        -        (32

 

In-force performance

    581        -        52        (11     -        -        -        -        -        -        -        622   

 

Unwind of discount

    295        -        144        17        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        455   

Operating variances

    27        -        (36     (31     -        -        -        -        -        -        -        (39

Changes in operating assumptions

    259        -        (56     3        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        206   

 

Embedded value operating return

    611        -        197        (3     -        -        -        -        -        -        -        806   

 

Variance from long-term inv. return

    (1,023     -        200        4        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        (819

 

Change in economic assumptions

    (95     -        (174     8        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        (260

 

Currency exchange differences

    0        -        0        0        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        0   

 

Miscellaneous impacts

    308        -        (237     (9     -        -        -        -        -        -        -        62   

 

Embedded value total return

    (199     -        (13     1        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        (211

 

Capital movements

    (5     -        (13     10        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        (9

 

Embedded value life insurance EoY

    3,392        -        1,858        264        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        5,514   

Embedded value life insurance EoY (EUR millions)

    3,392        -        1,858        264        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        5,514   

Other activities (EUR millions)

                          355   

Total embedded value for the Netherlands (EUR millions)

                                                                                            5,869   

Embedded value operating margin

    17.0     -        10.5     (1.0 )%      -        -        -        -        -        -        -        14.1
                           
VNB, PVNBP and APE  

Pensions and asset
management

 

   

Life and
protection

 

   

Individual savings and retirement

 

   

Institutional products

 

   

Life Re-

   

Total

 
(amounts in EUR millions, after tax)   Pensions     Asset
management
    Life     Accident
and health
    Fixed
annuities
    Variable
annuities
    Saving
products
    Mutual
funds
    Institutional
guaranteed
products
    BOLI/
COLI
    insurance         

Value of new business 2009

    30        -        146        8        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        184   

Present value of new business premiums

    1,943        -        741        78        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        2,763   

APE (A)

    235        -        82        11        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        328   

Deposits

    -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -   

 

(A)

APE = recurring premium + 1/10 single premium.

 

      Embedded Value   LOGO    Page 22        


Table of Contents

United Kingdom

Table 16

 

Movement analysis 2009  

Pensions and asset
management

 

   

Life and protection

 

   

Individual savings and retirement

 

   

Institutional products

 

   

Life Re-

   

Total

 
(amounts in GBP millions unless stated
otherwise, after tax)
  Pensions     Asset
management
    Life     Accident
and health
    Fixed
annuities
    Variable
annuities
    Saving
products
    Mutual
funds
        Institutional
    Guaranteed
     products
    BOLI/
COLI
    insurance         

Embedded value life insurance BoY (EUR millions)

    1,870        -        747        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        2,617   

Embedded value life insurance BoY

    1,781        -        712        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        2,493   

 

Value of new business (VNB)

    53        -        99        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        152   

 

Gross value of new business

    76        -        149        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        225   

Tax

    (21     -        (42     -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        (63

Cost of capital (after tax)

    (2     -        (8     -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        (10

 

In-force performance

    (17     -        3        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        (14

 

Unwind of discount

    113        -        63        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        175   

Operating variances

    (9     -        (2     -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        (12

Changes in operating assumptions

    (120     -        (57     -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        (177

 

Embedded value operating return

    36        -        102        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        138   

 

Variance from long-term inv. return

    154        -        (240     -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        (86

 

Change in economic assumptions

    (54     -        (182     -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        (235

 

Currency exchange differences

    (1     -        0        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        (1

 

Miscellaneous impacts

    (89     -        (144     -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        (233

 

Embedded value total return

    47        -        (464     -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        (417

 

Capital movements

    91        -        134        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        225   

 

Embedded value life insurance EoY

    1,918        -        383        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        2,301   

Embedded value life insurance EoY (EUR millions)

    2,160        -        431        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        2,591   

Other activities (EUR millions)

                          (153

Total embedded value for United Kingdom (EUR millions)

                                                                                            2,437   

Embedded value operating margin

    2.0     -        14.3     -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        5.5
                           
VNB, PVNBP and APE   Pensions and asset
management
    Life and
protection
    Individual savings and retirement     Institutional products    

Life Re-

   

Total

 
(amounts in GBP millions, after tax)   Pensions     Asset
management
    Life     Accident
and health
    Fixed
annuities
    Variable
annuities
    Saving
products
    Mutual
funds
        Institutional
    guaranteed
     products
    BOLI/
COLI
    insurance         

Value of new business 2009

    53        -        99        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        152   

Present value of new business premiums

    4,624        -        1,553        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        6,177   

APE (A)

    772        -        181        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        953   

Deposits

    -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -        -   

 

(A)

APE = recurring premium + 1/10 single premium.

 

      Embedded Value   LOGO    Page 23        


Table of Contents

Other Countries

Table 17

 

Movement analysis 2009  

Pensions and asset
management

 

   

Life and
protection

 

   

Individual savings and retirement

 

   

Institutional products

 

   

Life Re-

   

Total

 
(amounts in EUR millions, after tax)   Pensions     Asset
management
    Life     Accident
and health
    Fixed
annuities
    Variable
annuities
    Saving
products
    Mutual
funds
        Institutional
    guaranteed
     products
    BOLI/
COLI
    insurance         

Embedded value life insurance BoY (EUR millions)

    492        -        928        4        -        9        273        -        -        -        -        1,706   

Embedded value life insurance BoY

    492        -        928        4        -        9        273        -        -        -        -        1,706   

 

Value of new business (VNB)

    15        -        111        3        -        (10     1        -        -        -        -        120   

 

Gross value of new business

    25        -        171        4        -        (13     15        -        -        -        -        202   

Tax

    (5     -        (47     (1     -        4        (5     -        -        -        -        (54

Cost of capital (after tax)

    (5     -        (13     (0     -        (1     (8     -        -        -        -        (27

 

In-force performance

    23        -        38        (3     -        3        26        -        -        -        -        87   

 

Unwind of discount

    43        -        64        0        -        3        20        -        -        -        -        131   

Operating variances

    (30     -        (36     (3     -        (0     4        -        -        -        -        (65

Changes in operating assumptions

    10        -        10        (0     -        0        1        -        -        -        -        21   

 

Embedded value operating return

    39        -        149        (1     -        (7     27        -        -        -        -        207   

 

Variance from long-term inv. return

    16        -        23        (0     -        26        0        -        -        -        -        65   

 

Change in economic assumptions

    (8     -        (7     (0     -        0        (1     -        -        -        -        (16

 

Currency exchange differences

    (2     -        1        (0     -        0        0        -        -        -        -        (0

 

Miscellaneous impacts

    (104     -        (44     0        -        1        1        -        -        -        -        (146

 

Embedded value total return

    (60     -        122        (0     -        20        27        -        -        -        -        109   

 

Capital movements

    23        -        (69     (0     -        28        (19     -        -        -        -        (38

 

Embedded value life insurance EoY

    454        -        981        3        -        57        281        -        -        -        -        1,777   

Embedded value life insurance EoY (EUR millions)

    454        -        981        3        -        57        281        -        -        -        -        1,777   

Other activities (EUR millions)

                          320   

Total embedded value for Asia (EUR millions)

                                                                                            2,096   

Embedded value operating margin

    8.2     -        16.4     (15.4 )%      -        (83.6 )%      10.1     -        -        -        -        12.4
                           
VNB, PVNBP and APE  

Pensions and asset
management

 

   

Life and
protection

 

   

Individual savings and retirement

 

   

Institutional products

 

   

Life Re-

   

Total

 
(amounts in EUR millions, after tax)   Pensions     Asset
management
    Life     Accident
and health
    Fixed
annuities
    Variable
annuities
    Saving
products
    Mutual
funds
        Institutional
    guaranteed
     products
    BOLI/
COLI
    insurance         

Value of new business 2009

    15        -        111        3        -        (10     1        -        -        -        -        120   

Present value of new business premiums

    848        -        1,608        11        -        415        1,037        -        -        -        -        3,920   

APE (A)

    8        -        269        3        -        -        78        -        -        -        -        357   

Deposits

    119        -        -        -        -        406        0        -        -        -        -        525   

 

(A) APE = recurring premium + 1/10 single premium.

 

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Addendum 2: Embedded Value 2009 by new reporting segments

This addendum provides the split of the Embedded Value into the new reporting segments effective for IFRS reporting from the first quarter of 2010.

Americas

Table 18

 

Em bedded Value components           Individual savings and retirement                                             
amounts in EUR millions, after tax)    Life and
protection
    Fixed
annuities
    Variable
annuities
    Mutual
funds
     Employer
Solutions
and
Pensions
    Canada     Associates    

Life

Reinsurance

    Run-off
Business
    Total
2009
 

Life business

                       

Adjusted net worth (ANW)

     2,001        1,863        990        -         956        590        5        928        1,195        8,527   

Free surplus (FS)

     249        172        43        -         93        42        (2     87        137        822   

Required surplus (RS)

     1,751        1,691        947        -         862        548        7        840        1,059        7,705   
   

Value of in-force life business (ViF)

     3,090        186        282        63         1,229        44        7        915        (929     4,888   

Present value future profits (PVFP)

     3,678        431        468        63         1,521        303        10        1,109        (710     6,873   

Cost of capital (CoC)

     (588     (245     (186     -         (292     (259     (3     (194     (219     (1,985
   

Embedded value life insurance (EVLI)

     5,091        2,049        1,271        63         2,185        634        12        1,843        266        13,415   
   

Other activities

                        616   

Total embedded value EOY 2009

                                                                              14,031   

 

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The Netherlands

Table 19

 

Embedded Value components

(amounts in EUR millions, after tax)

   Life and
Savings
    Pensions     Total
2009
 

Life business

        

Adjusted net worth (ANW)

     705        2,494        3,199   

Free surplus (FS)

     288        826        1,114   

Required surplus (RS)

     417        1,668        2,085   
   

Value of in-force life business (ViF)

     1,417        898        2,315   

Present value future profits (PVFP)

     1,575        1,359        2,934   

Cost of capital (CoC)

     (158     (461     (619
   

Embedded value life insurance (EVLI)

     2,122        3,392        5,514   

Other activities

         355   

Total embedded value EOY 2009

                     5,869   

United Kingdom

Table 20

 

Embedded Value components

(amounts in EUR millions, after tax)

   Life     Pensions     Total
2009
 

Life business

        

Adjusted net worth (ANW)

     179        494        673   

Free surplus (FS)

     (202     378        177   

Required surplus (RS)

     381        115        496   
   

Value of in-force life business (ViF)

     251        1,666        1,918   

Present value future profits (PVFP)

     363        1,719        2,082   

Cost of capital (CoC)

     (111     (53     (164
   

Embedded value life insurance (EVLI)

     431        2,160        2,591   

Other activities

         (153

Total embedded value EOY 2009

                     2,437   

 

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New Markets

Table 21

 

Embedded Value components

(amounts in EUR millions, after tax)

   CEE     Asia     Spain &
France
    Variable
Annuities
Europe
    Total
2009
 

Life business

            

Adjusted net worth (ANW)

     368        14        434        2        817   

Free surplus (FS)

     253        5        35        (1     292   

Required surplus (RS)

     115        9        398        3        525   
   

Value of in-force life business (ViF)

     596        16        292        55        960   

Present value future profits (PVFP)

     651        22        418        55        1,146   

Cost of capital (CoC)

     (54     (6     (126     (0     (186
   

Embedded value life insurance (EVLI)

     964        30        726        57        1,777   
   

Other activities

     93        42        185        (0     320   

Total em bedded value EOY 2009

     1,057        72        910        57        2,096   

 

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Addendum 3: Breakdown of Other Countries by regions

This addendum provides the breakdown of the reconciliation of free surplus, movement analysis and sensitivity tables for Other Countries by region.

Free surplus movement for other countries

Table 22

 

Reconciliation of free surplus

(amounts in EUR millions, after tax)

   Asia     Central and
Eastern
    Other
European
Countries
    Variable
Annuity
Europe
    Other
countries
Total 2009
 
   

Free surplus (BOY)

     82        250        67        -          399   

Change in MV adjustment on FS

     -          7        6        -          13   

Return on free surplus

     0        16        3        (0     19   

Earnings on in-force

     0        84        26        29        138   

Release of required surplus on inforce

     108        (15     (19     (3     70   

Investment in new business

     (8     (61     (6     (43     (119

New business first year strain

     (5     (49     5        (43     (93

Required surplus on new business

     (3     (12     (11     -          (27

Capital movements

     13        (22     (57     28        (38

Currency exchange differences

     1        (1     -          (3     (3

Other

     (191     (5     17        (8     (188

Free surplus (EOY)

     5        253        35        (1     292   

The economic value of the free surplus for Other Countries decreased during 2009. The main impacts that increased the free surplus were:

  ¿  

Earnings on in-force of EUR 138 million, largely from CEE with smaller contributions from Other European Countries and Variable Annuities in Europe.

  ¿  

A release of required surplus on in-force largely related to the sale of the Taiwan life company.

  ¿  

Capital injections into the China life company, in Asia, and Variable Annuities in Europe, shown in capital movements.

More than offset by:

  ¿  

Investment in new business of EUR (119) million.

  ¿  

Dividends paid from CEE and Other European Countries, shown in capital movements.

  ¿  

The impact of the sale of Taiwan of EUR 191 million, shown in Other.

 

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Movement analysis of embedded value life insurance for other countries

Table 23

 

Movement analysis 2009

(amounts in EUR millions, after tax)

   Asia     Central and
Eastern
Europe
    Other
European
Countries
    Variable
Annuity
Europe
    Other
countries
Total 2009
 

Embedded value life insurance BoY

     97        903        705        0        1,706   

Value of new business (VNB)

     4        46        82        (11     120   

Gross value of new business

     9        65        143        (14     202   

Tax

     (2     (12     (44     4        (54

Cost of capital (after tax)

     (3     (7     (17     (1     (27

In-force performance

     (9     86        7        3        87   

Unwind of discount

     2        76        50        3        131   

Operating variances

     (11     (35     (20     (0     (65

Mortality/morbidity

     1        4        (7     0        (2

Persistency

     (1     (28     (10     (0     (39

Maintenance expenses

     0        3        (2     0        0   

Exceptional expenses

     (9     (5     0        0        (15

Other

     (1     (8     (1     0        (10

Changes in operating assumptions

     (1     45        (24     0        21   

Mortality/morbidity

     (0     4        5        0        9   

Persistency

     0        (12     (41     0        (53

Maintenance expenses

     (0     15        (2     0        13   

Other

     (0     38        14        0        51   

Embedded value operating return

     (6     132        88        (8     207   

Variance from long-term inv. return

     (1     41        (2     26        65   

Change in economic assumptions

     2        (11     (8     0        (16

Currency exchange differences

     0        (0     0        0        (0

Miscellaneous impacts

     (76     (79     (1     11        (146

Embedded value total return

     (81     83        78        29        109   

Capital movements

     13        (22     (57     28        (38

Embedded value life insurance EoY

     30        964        726        57        1,777   

Other activities

             320   

Total embedded value for Other Countries

                                     2,096   

Embedded value operating margin (A)

     (5.8 )%      15.2     12.5     -        12.4

(A) Embedded value operating margin is calculated on a constant currency basis.

Asia

 

  ¿  

The embedded value operating margin on a constant currency basis was (5.8)% .

  ¿  

The in-force variance is negative largely due to the impact of expense overruns in China due to the start-up nature of the company.

  ¿  

The main item coming through Miscellaneous relates to the sale of the Taiwan life company.

Central and Eastern Europe

 

  ¿  

The embedded value operating margin on a constant currency basis was 15.2% .

  ¿  

The in-force variance includes negative variances from persistency, largely related to the Hungary pensions and mortgage business and exceptional expenses due to the stage of development of the operations. There is also a one-off negative variance in Other related to lower than expected contributions into pension schemes in Hungary, as a result of the recession. These are partially

 

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offset by small positive variances on mortality in Hungary and Poland and maintenance expenses in Poland.

  ¿  

Changes to operating assumptions include positive impacts from lower maintenance expenses and improved persistency assumptions in Poland and, shown in Other, lower asset management expenses and increased fees on unitized business in Hungary. These are partially offset by the strengthening of persistency assumptions in Hungary.

  ¿  

The variance from long-term investment return was positive largely due to fixed interest returns in Hungary with a smaller impact from equity market improvements in Hungary and Poland.

  ¿  

On economic assumptions, there is a negative impact from the increase in risk discount rates, primarily in Hungary and Poland, partially offset by increased risk free interest rates and improved assumed equity returns.

  ¿  

Miscellaneous is largely related to the impact of changes in pensions legislation in Hungary, Slovakia, Poland and the Czech Republic.

Other European Countries

 

  ¿  

The embedded value operating margin on a constant currency basis was 12.5% .

  ¿  

The in-force variance includes negative variances from mortality and persistency. The persistency variance largely relates to risk products in Spain.

  ¿  

Changes in operating assumptions include a strengthening of persistency assumptions in relation to partial surrenders in Spain and an improvement in Other due to updating profit sharing assumptions in Spain.

Variable Annuities in Europe

 

  ¿  

The Miscellaneous item represents a transfer of embedded value from the UK segment at the start of 2009 of EUR 11m.

  ¿  

The variance from long term investment assumptions largely reflects the positive impact of equity market improvements during the year, which improves the embedded value as guarantees moved out of the money.

 

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Embedded Value life insurance sensitivities for other countries

Table 24

 

Sensitivity analysis -

Embedded value life insurance

(amounts in EUR millions, after tax)

   Asia      Central and
Eastern
Europe
     Other
European
Countries
     Variable
Annuity
Europe
     Other
countries
Total 2009
 

Base case embedded value life insurance 2009

     30         964         726         57         1,777   

 

Required surplus at regulatory solvency

     7%         3%         1%         0%         2%   

 

100 bps decrease in risk discount rate

     6%         6%         7%         7%         6%   

 

100 bps increase in risk discount rate

     -6%         -5%         -6%         -6%         -5%   

 

100 bps decrease in risk-free rate, all asset returns and RDR

     -13%         2%         2%         6%         2%   

 

100 bps increase in risk-free rate, all asset returns and RDR

     10%         -2%         -2%         -4%         -2%   

 

100 bps decrease in equity and property returns

     0%         -1%         -1%         -1%         -1%   

 

100 bps increase in equity and property returns

     0%         1%         1%         2%         1%   

 

10% fall in equity markets

     -1%         -1%         0%         -2%         -1%   

 

100 bps decrease in fixed interest

     -18%         -3%         -3%         1%         -3%   

 

100 bps increase in fixed interest

     18%         3%         3%         0%         3%   

 

10% decrease in lapse rates

     1%         3%         4%         2%         3%   

 

5% decrease in mortality/ morbidity rates for mortality/ morbidity exposure business

     1%         0%         0%         0%         0%   

 

5% decrease in mortality/ morbidity rates for longevity exposure business

     0%         0%         -8%         1%         -3%   

 

1% mortality/ morbidity improvement per year for the entire projection period

     1%         0%         0%         0%         0%   

 

10% decrease in maintenance expenses

 

     1%         2%         2%         1%         2%   

 

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Value of new business sensitivity for Other Countries

Table 25

 

Sensitivity analysis -

Value of new business

(amounts in EUR millions, after tax)

   Asia      Central and
Eastern
Europe
     Other
European
Countries
     Variable
Annuity
Europe
     Total
2009
 

Base case value of new business 2009

     4         46         82         -11         120   

 

100 bps decrease in risk discount rate

     17%         17%         13%         -22%         18%   

 

100 bps increase in risk discount rate

     -15%         -15%         -11%         8%         -14%   

 

100 bps decrease in risk-free rate, all asset returns and RDR

     -63%         5%         0%         -15%         1%   

 

100 bps increase in risk-free rate, all asset returns and RDR

     52%         -4%         0%         0%         0%   

 

100 bps decrease in equity and property returns

     0%         -2%         -1%         -3%         -1%   

 

100 bps increase in equity and property returns

     0%         3%         1%         -10%         2%   

 

100 bps decrease in fixed interest

     -73%         -9%         -11%         -4%         -12%   

 

100 bps increase in fixed interest

     72%         9%         11%         -10%         14%   

 

10% decrease in lapse rates

     2%         8%         9%         -12%         10%   

 

5% decrease in mortality/ morbidity rates for mortality/ morbidity exposure business

     2%         2%         1%         -7%         2%   

 

5% decrease in mortality/ morbidity rates for longevity exposure business

     0%         0%         0%         -7%         1%   

 

1% mortality/ morbidity improvement per year for the entire projection period

     1%         2%         0%         -7%         2%   

 

10% decrease in acquisition expenses

     3%         4%         2%         -9%         4%   

 

10% decrease in maintenance expenses

 

     7%         6%         3%         -8%         5%   

 

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Addendum 4: Outcome based on the regulatory surplus requirement

Table 26

 

Embedded value components - Regulatory surplus

 

(amounts in EUR millions, after tax)

  Americas     The
Netherlands
    United
Kingdom
    Other
countries
    Total 2009     Total 2008  
     

Life business

               

Adjusted net worth (ANW)

    8,527        3,199        673        815        13,214        11,123   

Free surplus (FS)

    5,096        1,926        177        376        7,575        7,500   

Required surplus (RS)

    3,431        1,273        496        439        5,639        3,623   
     

Value of in-force life business (ViF)

    6,069        2,535        1,918        1,002        11,524        12,876   

Present value future profits (PVFP)

    6,873        2,934        2,082        1,146        13,035        14,184   

Cost of capital (CoC)

    (804     (399     (164     (144     (1,511     (1,307
     

Embedded value life insurance (EVLI)

    14,596        5,734        2,591        1,817        24,738        24,000   
     

Other activities

               

IFRS book value

    616        355        (153     320        1,137        948   
     

Total embedded value per region

    15,212        6,089        2,437        2,137        25,876        24,947   
     

Holding activities

            (6,663     (5,346

Market value of debt, capital securities & other net liabilities

            (6,187     (4,840

Present value holding expenses

            (477     (506

 

Total embedded value (TEV)

 

                                 

 

 

 

 

19,212

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

19,601

 

 

  

 

 

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Addendum 5: Recoverability of DPAC

This section discusses a number of differences between embedded value and the accounting treatment of deferred policy acquisition costs (DPAC), including value of business acquired (VOBA), with the aim of linking embedded value to DPAC. The DPAC analyzed here is on an IFRS basis.

Policy acquisition costs are deferred to the extent that they are recoverable from future expense charges in the premiums or from expected gross profits, depending on the nature of the contract. Every year the DPAC are tested by country unit and product line to assess the recoverability. Included in DPAC is the VOBA resulting from acquisitions, which is equal to a proportion of the present value of estimated future profits on insurance policies in-force related to business acquired at the time of the acquisition and is in its nature the same as deferred policy acquisition costs and also subject to the same recoverability testing.

Differences between the assessment of embedded value and DPAC/VOBA, include, but are not limited to, the following:

 

  ¿  

DPAC/VOBA in most countries is based on different accounting assumptions from those used in EVLI

  ¿  

DPAC/VOBA should be compared to IFRS profits instead of local statutory profits, on which EVLI is based

  ¿  

DPAC/VOBA under IFRS is reported pre-tax; EVLI is on an after tax basis

In the Netherlands, Hungary and Slovakia, DPAC/VOBA is reflected in EVLI, where it is an admissible asset.

Under the EV framework, the present value of future profits (PVFP) represents the present value of future after tax regulatory profits projected to emerge from business in the current life insurance portfolio, discounted at the embedded value discount rate. For the reasons explained above, this PVFP cannot be compared directly to the DPAC/VOBA.

To arrive at a comparable basis, the profits included in the PVFP are adjusted to represent the present value of future pre-tax IFRS profits, before DPAC/VOBA amortization and discounted at the earned rate, net of investment charges/ expenses. The outcome of this calculation is compared to outstanding DPAC/VOBA balances to give an indication of the extent to which the aggregate DPAC/VOBA is recoverable. However, it should be noted that actual DPAC/VOBA recoverability testing does not occur in aggregate but rather at a lower level of segmentation and hence accelerated amortization may be required from time to time on specific blocks or segments of business even though ample coverage exists in aggregate.

Table 27 shows that total life insurance DPAC/VOBA has a coverage ratio of 206%. All of the regions showed coverage ratios above 100%.

Table 27

 

DPAC recoverability

 

(amounts in EUR millions, pre tax)

   Americas      The
Netherlands
     United
Kingdom
     Other
countries
     Total
2009
 

Adjusted PVFP

     19,062         4,683         4,795         1,590         30,131   

 

Gross DPAC

     9,795         587         3,865         352         14,600   

 

Coverage

     195%         798%         124%         451%         206%   

 

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Addendum 6: Exchange rates

The currency exchange rates used in this report are reflected below. The weighted average exchange rates are used for the amounts in the movement analysis whereas the closing exchange rates are used for the year–end 2009 and 2008 amounts.

Table 28

 

Exchange rates

 

          

2009

 

    

2008

 

 
Currency    Abbreviation      Closing rate      Average rate      Closing rate      Average rate  

Euro

     EUR         1.000         1.000         1.000         1.000   

 

US Dollar

     USD         1.441         1.407         1.392         1.466   

 

British Pound

     GBP         0.888         0.890         0.953         0.796   

 

Canadian Dollar

     CAD         1.513         1.577         1.700         1.559   

 

Polish Zloty

     PLN         4.105         4.325         4.154         3.521   

 

Ren Min Bi Yuan

     CNY         9.835         9.485         9.496         10.247   

 

Hungarian Forint

     HUF         270.420         280.293         266.700         251.291   

 

Czech Republic Krona

     CZK         26.473         26.334         26.875         24.893   

 

Romanian Leu

     RON         4.236         4.235         4.023         3.683   

 

Turkish New Lira

     TRY         2.155         2.162         2.149         1.905   

 

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Addendum 7: Methodology

Scope

Each division in each country unit calculates the embedded value life insurance (EVLI) for the relevant product segments within the life insurance entities (life business) based on detailed actuarial calculations.

All business not included in the life entities, such as general insurance, A&H in non-life entities and banking products is referred to as other activities. All business in non-life entities is valued at IFRS book value.

The sum of the embedded value life insurance per region and the value of the other activities is referred to as total embedded value per region.

The adjustments in respect of the holding activities comprise two parts:

  ¿  

Debt, capital securities and other net liabilities included at their market values;

  ¿  

The present value of future after tax holding expenses, representing the expenses incurred by the group staff departments which are not allocated to the country units.

The sum of the total embedded value per region and the adjustment in respect of the holding activities represents the total embedded value (TEV).

The total embedded value less the value of the preferred share capital represents the total embedded value attributable to common shareholders. The preferred share capital is valued by discounting the expected dividends at the weighted average cost of capital (WACC). This amount is then reduced by 5% to represent a liquidity discount adjustment.

 

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Methodology and definitions

Calculation of the embedded value life insurance requires a considerable number of assumptions to be set with respect to both expected operational and economic developments. The principles developed by AEGON to calculate its embedded value life insurance and value of new business are intended to reflect industry best practices for the purpose of supplementary reporting.

Embedded value life insurance

The embedded value life insurance only reflects the value that arises from current business (assuming a closed book) and therefore does not include a value for future new business.

The embedded value life insurance is built up from the following components:

 

EVLI

  =    Free surplus    }   

Adjusted net worth

 

 

+

  

 

Required surplus

     
  +    Present value of future profits    }    Value of in-force life business
 

 

  

 

Cost of capital

     

The EVLI is defined as the adjusted net worth (ANW) plus value of in-force life business (ViF)8.

ANW represents the market value of available assets in excess of liabilities determined on the local regulatory basis. ANW is split between required surplus and free surplus. Required surplus represents assets required to be present in the company to support the in-force life business (solvency requirement). Assets backing required surplus are marked-to-market. Free surplus represents assets available at the valuation date that are not required to support the in-force life business, and is the excess of assets over the sum of the liabilities (on the regulatory basis) and the required surplus. Assets backing free surplus are marked-to-market. Refer to table 5 for a reconciliation of the total capital base to ANW.

The ViF equals the present value of future profits (PVFP) less the cost of capital (CoC). The PVFP represents the present value of future after tax regulatory profits projected to emerge from business in the current life insurance portfolio discounted at the discount rate. The discount rate both reflects the time value of money and a risk margin. The CoC originates from the fact that solvency requirements will constrain distributions to shareholders while earning a net return less than the discount rate.

The cost of capital depends on the level of required surplus and affects the EVLI. The higher the required surplus, the greater the CoC and this switch from free surplus to required surplus results in a lower EVLI. The AEGON internal requirement is based on the higher of the local minimum regulatory requirements and Standard and Poor’s local capital adequacy models at AA level, plus any additional internally imposed requirements, if applicable (internal basis). The exception is AEGON’s partnership in France, La Mondiale Participations, which is managed on local regulatory requirements, which then also forms the basis for the solvency requirements for that business throughout this report.

For comparison purposes, addendum 4 includes the embedded value components and the embedded value life insurance per country unit on the regulatory surplus basis.

 

8 Alternatively, the sum of the required surplus and present value of future profits less the cost of capital is also known as the present value of distributable earnings (PVDE). The value of the free surplus plus the PVDE then equals the embedded value life insurance.

 

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Movement analysis including new business

A movement analysis illustrates the change in embedded value life insurance from one reporting period to the next. One of the components of the movement analysis is the value of new business (VNB). The VNB is a measure of the value added by production sold within the last reporting period. It is calculated at the end of the reporting period as the sum of the four quarters VNB results over the year which are based on the beginning of year economic assumptions and assumptions outside of management control, and beginning of quarter operating assumptions. The change to end of year economic assumptions is reflected under ‘change in economic assumptions’, while the difference between the assumed and actual investment experience is reflected in the ‘variance from long-term investment return’.

Where pre-tax numbers are presented, the calculations are carried out on an after tax basis and the profits are then grossed up for the relevant corporate tax rate.

Operating assumptions

Operating assumptions are best estimate assumptions and based on historical data where available. The assumptions fall into two categories: operating assumptions involving policyholder behavior and operating assumptions involving company policies, strategies and operations. All assumptions reflect a going concern basis.

Operating assumptions involving policyholder behavior

Operating assumptions involving policyholder behavior, such as premium contributions, mortality, morbidity and persistency, reflect the company’s ‘best estimate’ of future experience and are based on the historical and current experience of the company. These assumptions are adjusted to reflect known changes in the environment and identifiable trends. If historical data is insufficient to provide a reliable basis to develop assumptions, the company’s best judgment is used taking into consideration the company’s pricing and/or reserving assumptions and the experience of other companies with comparable products, markets and operating procedures.

Operating assumptions involving company policies, strategies and operations

Operating assumptions involving company policies, strategies and operations, such as profit sharing/bonus rates and reinsurance and investment/reinvestment strategies reflect contractual requirements as well as the most current policies, strategies and operations.

Consistent with the close matching approach implemented in 2004, the estate of Guardian Assurance in AEGON UK has been valued assuming its distribution as terminal bonus.

Allowances for tax reflect best estimates of future taxes according to local taxation rules, taking into account current ‘substantially enacted’ legislation and tax rates. This best estimate of future taxes initially assumes no future new business (i.e. is on a closed book basis) and includes both cash and accrual adjustments (e.g., deferred taxes). The tax attributed to new business written in the year is generally determined by considering the marginal impact of that new business on the existing business tax position (allowing for any losses carried forward). For the UK, the tax attributable to new business assumes that existing business profits are first made available to relieve new business strains, with any balance of such profits then being used to relieve carried forward losses. The UK new business strains and current tax position of the fund thus generate a negative tax variance, which has been included under ‘in-force variance’ in the movement analysis in section 4.2.

 

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Expenses are based on current experience – in the Netherlands this is current budgeted expenses as they are considered a more appropriate indicator of future levels. Expenses that can clearly be demonstrated as non-recurring are identified and omitted from maintenance or acquisition costs and excluded from the determination of the appropriate unit expense assumptions. Expenses are subject to inflation adjustments into the future 9. Holding expenses reflect the present value of expected future expenses incurred by the holding companies (present value holding expenses). These expenses are assumed to run off in line with the in-force life business.

The target investment mix assumed does not vary with different scenarios. Where the current investment mix is different from the target, the target mix is modeled to be reached over a period of time.

Operating assumptions are reviewed each year and a determination is made as to whether they should be changed.

Economic assumptions

Economic assumptions used in the embedded value are based on observable market data and projections of future trends. These assumptions are approved by the Executive Board.

Risk discount rate

The discount rates used in embedded value reflect AEGON’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC). From the WACC, we derive an AEGON risk margin as the difference between the WACC and weighted current risk free rates across the major country units. The WACC is calculated using a combination of a group level risk free interest rate, an equity risk premium, an assessment of company risk (beta) and an allowance for the gearing impact of debt financing. Rigid adherence to such an approach can result in inappropriate volatility in the WACC and the derived AEGON risk margin, for example as a result of short-term movements in beta. In 2004 and 2005 the AEGON risk margin was 3.2%. In 2006 and 2007 it was concluded that, taking into account changes in the beta and the level of debt financing, 3.0% would be a more appropriate allowance for an AEGON group wide risk margin. The analysis in 2008 reflected a similar approach but recognized that an increase in the equity risk premium was appropriate. Prior to 2008 the cost of equity was in the range 8% to 9%. In 2008 a cost of equity of 10.5% was assumed, which resulted in an increase in the risk margin from 3% to 4%. In 2009, the cost of equity increased to 11.3% however we maintained a stable risk margin at 4%.

Discount rates are then calculated at a country unit level to reflect the AEGON risk margin and the country risk free rate assumption. Where risk free rates are projected to move from current market rates to an ultimate long-term rate, the risk margin is applied to a blended rate to arrive at a single risk discount rate. In previous years no adjustment was made to discount rates among the three major country units to reflect differences in business risk either at country level or business unit/product level. The substantial de-risking of the Netherlands business has been recognized, similar to last year, leading to the inclusion of a risk margin of 3% for the Netherlands, 1% below the US and the UK. It should also be noted that, specific risk factors within each of these three countries will be reflected in the reserves set at a local level. An allowance for specific risk factors in the new/smaller country units is included in the discount rates where appropriate.

Equity return

The method used to derive projected equity returns is similar to that used to derive risk discount rates. As in previous years this method has resulted in the assumption of equity returns at the same level as discount rates. This includes the Netherlands, even though the lower risk premium applicable to this business could have supported an approach where they exceeded the discount rate to achieve consistency of equity returns across euro economies.

9 Refer to addendum 8 for the inflation assumptions.

 

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Risk free fixed interest returns

Risk free fixed interest returns correspond to the government bond yield for ten-year fixed interest instruments. These returns are used to derive risk discount rates and also underlie projections of returns on reinvestments, which will vary by the duration and credit characteristics of the assumed investment policy. In the Americas and the Eurozone, the assumed returns grade from the current market levels to the long-term assumptions – derived from the forward curve – over a period of approximately five years.

Embedded options and guarantees

Insurance policies can have options and guarantees that are embedded in the product design (embedded options and guarantees). These embedded options and guarantees include minimum guaranteed death/income benefits, minimum interest guarantees (floors), minimum (cash) surrender values, annuity options, etc.

An explicit allowance for the time value of all material embedded options and guarantees has been included by assessing their impact on embedded value life insurance using mostly stochastic modeling. The methodology and assumptions used to assess this for the two regions where the impact on the EVLI is material are described in addendum 8. In total, the time value of options and guarantees included in the EVLI for the Group was EUR 590 million, after tax.

As well as the explicit cost included for the time value of embedded options and guarantees, the PVFP for the Netherlands includes a positive value of EUR 1.3 billion in relation to the release of EUR 2.0 billion IFRS reserve held for financial options and guarantees, and which is backed by an economic hedging program. This value has been established by projecting the future releases to shareholders from the reserve, assuming the underlying assets earn a fixed income rate of return, and discounting the releases, net of 25.5% tax, at the risk discount rate.

Required capital

The solvency requirement underlying the cost of capital allowance in the embedded value is the internal surplus requirement on which the business is managed. This requirement is based on the more stringent of the local regulatory requirement and the Standard and Poor’s local capital adequacy models at a AA level plus any additional internally imposed requirements, if applicable. The exception is AEGON’s partnership in France, La Mondiale Participations, which is managed on local regulatory requirements. This then forms the basis for the solvency requirements for that business throughout this report.

In addition, embedded value figures calculated using the regulatory surplus requirement are shown in table 26, in addendum 4.

 

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Addendum 8: Detailed economic assumptions

Table 29

 

Economic

assumptions 2009

   Discount
rate
     Equity
returns
     Property
returns
     Risk free fixed interest
returns (A)
     Net credit spread on fixed
interest (B)
     Inflation
rate
     Tax
rate
 
                           Start      Ultimate     

Grading

period
(years)

     Start      Ultimate     

Grading

period
(years)

               

Americas

                                  

United States

     8.9%         8.9%         8.0%         3.9%         6.0%         5         290         130         2         2.0%         35.5%   

Canada

     8.2%         8.2%         -         3.7%         4.8%         5         104         65         2         2.0%         28.0%   

Mexico

     12.5%         -         -         6.5%         6.5%         -         -         -         -         4.2%         40.0%   

The Netherlands

     7.4%         7.4%         6.7%         3.8%         5.0%         5         124         100         2         2.0%         25.5%   

United Kingdom

     8.8%         8.8%         8.8%         4.2%         5.4%         5         167         119         2         2.0%         28.0%   

 

Other Countries

                                  

 

Asia

                                  

China

     10.2%         10.2%         -         4.0%         4.4%         5         131         131         -         3.0%         25.0%   

 

Central and Eastern Europe

                                  

Czech Republic

     8.3%         8.3%         8.3%         4.3%         4.3%         -         -         -         -         3.0%         19.0%   

Hungary

     12.0%         12.0%         12.0%         8.0%         8.0%         -         -         -         -         3.0%         19.0%   

Poland

     10.2%         10.2%         -         6.2%         6.2%         -         -         -         -         3.0%         19.0%   

Romania

     13.0%         13.0%         -         9.0%         9.0%         -         -         -         -         4.0%         16.0%   

Slovakia

     8.4%         8.4%         -         3.8%         5.0%         5         -         -         -         3.0%         19.0%   

Turkey

     15.0%         15.0%         -         9.0%         9.0%         -         -         -         -         5.0%         20.0%   

 

Other European Countries

                                  

France

     8.4%         8.4%         5.7%         3.8%         5.0%         5         90         50         1         2.0%         34.4%   

Spain

     8.4%         8.4%         8.4%         3.8%         5.0%         5         126         90         2         2.0%         30.0%   

Variable Annuity Europe

     8.8%         8.8%         8.8%         4.2%         5.4%         5         127         127         -         2.0%         12.5%   
                                                                                                    

Economic

assumptions 2008

   Discount
rate
     Equity
returns
     Property
returns
     Risk free fixed interest
returns (A)
     Net credit spread on fixed
interest (B)
     Inflation
rate
     Tax
rate
 
                           Start      Ultimate     

Grading

period
(years)

     Start      Ultimate     

Grading

period
(years)

               

Americas

                                  

United States

     7.2%         7.2%         6.5%         2.3%         4.1%         5         606         109         2         2.0%         35.5%   

Canada

     7.4%         7.4%         -         2.6%         4.1%         5         259         65         2         2.0%         28.0%   

Mexico

     13.0%         -         -         8.5%         8.5%         -         -         -         -         4.0%         40.0%   

The Netherlands

     7.0%         7.0%         6.7%         3.4%         4.6%         5         527         148         2         2.0%         25.5%   

United Kingdom

     7.9%         7.9%         7.9%         3.4%         4.4%         5         388         110         2         2.0%         28.0%   

 

Other Countries

                                  

 

Asia

                                  

China

     10.0%         10.0%         -         2.9%         3.9%         5         144         144         -         3.0%         25.0%   

Taiwan

     6.8%         6.8%         -         1.7%         2.6%         5         365         82         2         2.0%         25.0%   

 

Central and Eastern Europe

                                  

Czech Republic

     8.5%         8.5%         8.5%         4.5%         4.5%         -         -         -         -         3.0%         19.0%   

Hungary

     11.0%         11.0%         11.0%         7.0%         7.0%         -         45         45         -         3.0%         20.0%   

Poland

     9.5%         9.5%         -         5.5%         5.5%         -         -         -         -         3.0%         19.0%   

Romania

     13.0%         13.0%         -         8.5%         8.5%         -         -         -         -         5.0%         16.0%   

Slovakia

     8.0%         8.0%         -         3.4%         4.6%         5         -         -         -         3.0%         19.0%   

 

Other European Countries

                                  

France

     8.0%         8.0%         8.0%         3.4%         4.6%         5         100         50         2         2.0%         34.4%   

Spain

     8.0%         8.0%         8.0%         3.4%         4.6%         5         128         55         2         2.0%         30.0%   

(A) Risk free fixed interest returns correspond to the 10-year government bond yield.

(B) Average net credit spread in basis points (bps) of all corporate bonds, mortgages, loans, etc. over the risk free fixed interest returns.

 

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Americas

Stochastic modeling methodology

The embedded value is taken as the average of the values calculated over a range of stochastic scenarios. The risk discount rate used in each scenario is described in table 4.

Scenarios for general account products

¿  

Treasury yield curve scenarios

These scenarios model the US treasury yield curve. The underlying dynamics of the scenario generator are lognormal, with mean reversion to the assumed interest rate levels as described in table 4 as well as further adjustments in the event that the rates become too extreme. A short maturity (90-day) and long maturity (10-year) rate are projected. For both rates a quarterly volatility, a mean reversion target, and a mean reversion factor are specified, as well as a correlation between the movements of the two projected rates. Volatilities (standard deviations) are based on historical data. The net credit spreads are not assumed to vary by scenario.

Table 30

 

Stochastic modeling mean reversion targets          
Maturity    Reversion
target
     Quarterly
yield
volatility
 

90-day

     4.87%         16%   

10-year

     5.96%         8%   

 

¿  

Equity scenarios

Common stock and preferred stock account for less than 2% of the total AEGON USA general account assets. Therefore, these are not modeled separately.

Scenarios for separate account products

These scenarios cover various classes of equities and fixed income investments (bonds, money markets) as benchmarks for separate account funds. The underlying dynamics of the generator are lognormal, with inputs of expected returns and volatilities for each fund class as well as correlations between fund classes. Volatilities and correlations between funds are based on historical data. The current economic environment and forward-looking assumptions as per the dividend discount model were used to determine expected annual returns.

Within the stochastic scenarios, non-economic assumptions such as lapses are modeled dynamically. No management behavior is modeled.

Table 31

 

Stochastic modeling

assumptions

   Effective annualized
long-term gross
return
     Annual price
volatility (A)
 

Equity

     8.90%         20.00%   

Convertible bonds

     8.06%         10.75%   

Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond

     6.73%         3.75%   

Money market

     4.87%         0.50%   

(A) Volatilities in this table are with respect to volatilities of returns.

 

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Table 32

 

Correlation matrix (A)    Equity      Convertible
bonds
     Barclays
Capital
Aggregate
Bond
     Money
market
 

Equity

     1.00         0.85         0.07         0.10   

Convertible bonds

     0.85         1.00         0.21         0.11   

Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond

     0.07         0.21         1.00         0.10   

Money market

     0.10         0.11         0.10         1.00   

(A) Correlations in this table are with respect to correlations of returns.

The Netherlands

Stochastic modeling methodology

The allowance in embedded value for the minimum interest guarantees in the life insurance portfolio (traditional business, unit-linked portfolios and separate account contracts) is calculated stochastically, where applicable. The impact of the financial options is calculated using the average values of the future after-tax shortfalls and profit-sharing over a range of stochastic scenarios, discounted using the risk discount rate described in table 4.

Within the stochastic scenarios non-economic assumptions are based on best estimates. No management behavior is modeled.

Scenarios for general account products

Profit sharing is mainly driven by an externally defined basket of government bonds. Therefore, no equity return or correlation assumptions are required to assess the exposure to the financial options and guarantees embedded in the traditional products.

At year-end 2009, the book yield on this basket equaled 3.29%. To assess the value of the minimum guarantees, a mean reversion target return of 4.95% is assumed for this benchmark. Projected interest rate scenarios are specified taking into account correlation between successive years, the mean reversion target and volatility. The model volatility is related to the implied volatility of the 7-year yield as an approximation of the actual volatility of the profit-sharing benchmark.

Table 33

 

Stochastic modeling mean reversion targets  
     

Reversion
target

 

    

Annual yield
volatility

 

 

Profit-sharing rate

     4.95%         14.6%   

Scenarios for unit-linked and separate account pension products

The unit-linked portfolio and separate account pension contracts are backed by a mix of equities and fixed income investments. The underlying dynamics of the scenario generators are lognormal, with inputs of expected returns and volatilities as well as the correlation matrix. The tables that follow include the mix of the underlying assets, the expected returns, volatilities per asset class and the assumed correlations for each of the unit-linked and separate account products. Volatilities and correlations between asset classes are based on historical data.

 

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Table 34

 

Stochastic modeling unit-linked portfolio                                                
AEGON funds    Expected return      Annual price volatility  
      Start      Ultimate      Grading
period
     Start      Ultimate      Grading
period
 

Equity fund

     7.40%         7.40%         -         24.50%         17.30%         5   

Fixed income fund

     1.28%         3.91%         5         3.70%         3.70%         -   

Property fund

     7.40%         7.40%         -         24.50%         17.30%         5   

Mix fund (A)

     4.27%         5.77%         5         11.20%         10.98%         5   

Government bonds fund

     3.90%         3.90%         -         0.20%         0.20%         -   

(A) The AEGON Mix fund is a combination of 40% equity fund, 55% fixed income fund and 5% property fund.

Table 35

 

Stochastic modeling unit-linked portfolio                                                                        
Correlation matrix (A)    Equity      Fixed income      Property  
      Start      Ultimate      Grading
period
     Start      Ultimate      Grading
period
     Start      Ultimate      Grading
period
 

Equity

     1.00         1.00         -         -0.36         -0.18         5         0.77         0.70         5   

Fixed income

     -0.36         -0.18         5         1.00         1.00         -         -0.14         -0.25         5   

Property

     0.77         0.70         5         -0.14         -0.25         5         1.00         1.00         -   

(A) Correlations in this table are with respect to correlations of returns.

Table 36

 

Stochastic modeling separate account pensions                          
     Distribution      Annual Price
Start
     Ultimate      Volatility
Grading
period
 

Equity (A)

    15.4%         24.50%         17.30%         5   

Fixed income (A)

    82.1%         3.80%         3.80%         -   

Property (A)

    2.5%         24.50%         17.30%         5   

(A) The expected returns used in stochastic modeling for these asset classes are the same as in table 29.

Table 37

 

Stochastic modeling separate account pensions                                                                  
Correlation matrix (A)           Equity             Bonds      Property  
      Start      Ultimate      Grading
period
     Start      Ultimate      Grading
period
     Start      Ultimate      Grading
period
 

Equity

     1.00         1.00         -         -0.36         -0.18         5         0.77         0.70         5   

Bonds

     -0.36         -0.18         5         1.00         1.00         -         -0.14         -0.25         5   

Property

     0.77         0.70         5         -0.14         -0.25         5         1.00         1.00         -   

(A) Correlations in this table are with respect to correlations of returns.

 

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Glossary and abbreviations

Glossary

 

Base case

   The EVLI, TEV and VNB calculated under the set of assumptions and methodology outlined in addendum 5 Methodology. Sensitivity tests reflecting a deviation on the assumptions are presented in comparison to the base case.
Closed book    An assumption that the portfolio will run off after the valuation date and is not expected to grow with future new business.
Cost of capital    The cost related to having to hold solvency capital that will constrain distributions to shareholders. The cost originates from the fact that the net return earned on the assets backing this capital is lower than the discount rate.
Discount rate    The rate at which future cash flows are discounted back to the valuation date.

Embedded options and

guarantees

   Can apply to both assets and liabilities of AEGON. On assets, refers to features such as guarantees the ability to exercise an option to call, put, prepay or convert an asset. On liabilities, refers to features such as minimum guaranteed death/income benefits, minimum interest guarantees (floors), minimum (cash) surrender values, annuity options, etc.

Embedded value life

insurance

   The contributed capital invested in AEGON’s life operations, the adjusted net worth, and the present value of the existing life insurance business at the valuation date less the cost of capital and excluding any value attributable to future new business.

Embedded value life

insurance movement

   The change in embedded value life insurance from one reporting year to another.

Embedded value

operating margin

   Return on embedded value life insurance from operating activities. Defined as embedded value operating return divided by beginning of year embedded value life insurance (after any beginning of year adjustments) on a constant currency basis.

Embedded value

operating return

   Embedded value life insurance earnings from operating activities. Defined as the value of new business plus in-force performance.

Embedded value total

margin

   Return on embedded value life insurance from all sources. Defined as embedded value total return divided by beginning of year embedded value (after any beginning of year adjustments) in euros.

Embedded value total

return

   Embedded value life insurance earnings from all sources, not including capital movements. Defined as embedded value operating return plus the variance from long-term investment return, changes in economic assumptions, currency exchange differences and miscellaneous impacts.

European Embedded

Value Principles

   A consistent framework for the calculation and reporting of embedded value published in May 2004 by the CFO Forum, a group representing the Chief Financial Officers of major European insurers.

 

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Free surplus    Excess of assets available at the valuation date over capital needed to support the business (liabilities and required surplus).
Going concern basis    Business outlook assumption that expects the business to behave under normal conditions but excluding the value generated by future new business.

Gross value of new

business

   The value of new business, grossed-up at the effective new business corporate tax rate, before allowance for the cost of capital.
In-force business    Contracts and policies that are in effect as at the valuation date.
In-force performance    Defined as unwinding discount rate plus current-year experience variance from non-economic assumptions within management control plus change in operating assumptions.
Internal rate of return    The discount rate at which the present value of the distributable earnings from new business equals the investment in new business, i.e. the projected return on the initial investment in new business.
Internal surplus basis    The more stringent of local regulatory solvency requirements and Standard and Poor’s (S&P) solvency requirements at AA level, plus any additional internally imposed requirements, if applicable.

International Financial

Reporting Standards

   A set of accounting standards developed by the International Accounting Standards Board. All publicly listed companies in the European Union are required to prepare their financial statements in conformity with IFRS beginning January 1, 2005.
IFRS book value    Net asset value based on international financial reporting standards.
Mark-to-market    The adjustment of the asset value from regulatory value to market value.
Movement analysis    An explanation of the change in embedded value life insurance from one reporting period to the next.
Net asset spreads    Excess of net investment return over the risk free rate.
Persistency    The rate at which policies and contracts remain in-force.

Present value of

distributable earnings

   The discounted value of expected future distributable earnings as at the valuation date at the discount rate.

Present value of new

business premiums

   The discounted value of modeled premiums on the block of business sold in the latest reporting year.

Present value of future

profits

   The present value of future after tax regulatory profits projected to emerge from business in the current life insurance portfolio, discounted at the embedded value discount rate.
Reporting segment    The product type categories of business on which AEGON reports externally for IFRS and EVLI/TEV.

 

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Required surplus    The capital that AEGON is required to hold in order to satisfy local regulatory solvency requirements or to demonstrate financial strength (via ratings from agencies such as Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s).
Reserve base    Methodology or principle basis to calculate the level of reserves.
Total embedded value    The sum of the embedded value life insurance and the value of the other activities and holding activities.
Time value of money    The expected value of money at a certain valuation date.
Unwind of discount    Expected return on the beginning of year EVLI.
Value of new business    The present value of the future distributable earnings on the block of business sold in the latest reporting year. Value of new business is calculated using beginning of year economic assumptions and assumptions outside of management control, and beginning of quarter operating assumptions.
Value of in-force    The present value of the expected future profits emerging from the business in-force as of the valuation date minus the cost of capital.
Variance analysis    Explanation of the difference between actual and expected experience related to assumptions.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Abbreviations

 

A&H    Accident & health
ANW    Adjusted net worth
APE    Annualized premium equivalent
BoY    Beginning of year
CoC    Cost of capital
DPAC    Deferred policy acquisition costs
EEV    European Embedded Value
EoY    End of year
EVLI    Embedded value life insurance
FA    Fixed annuities
Fee    Fee business
FS    Free surplus
IFRS    International financial reporting standards
IGP    Institutional guaranteed products
IRR    Internal rate of return
LAP    Life for account of policyholders
PVDE    Present value of distributable earnings
PVFP    Present value of future profits
PVNBP    Present value of new business premiums
RS    Required surplus
TEV    Total embedded value
TL    Traditional life
VA    Variable annuities
ViF    Value of in-force business
VNB    Value of new business
VOBA    Value of business acquired

 

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Disclaimers

Cautionary note regarding Regulation G (non-GAAP measure)

This press release includes a non-GAAP financial measure. Embedded value is not based on IFRS, which are used to prepare and report AEGON’s 2009 financial statements and should not be viewed as a substitute for IFRS financial measures. In the 2009 Embedded Value report available on www.aegon.com, the embedded value life insurance and the total embedded value are reconciled to shareholders’ equity of EUR 12.2 billion as reported in AEGON’s annual accounts over the year 2009. AEGON believes the non-GAAP measure shown herein, together with the GAAP information, provides a meaningful measure for the investment community to evaluate AEGON’s business relative to the businesses of our peers.

Local currencies and constant currency exchange rates

This press release contains certain information about our results and financial condition in USD for the Americas and GBP for the United Kingdom, because those businesses operate and are managed primarily in those currencies. Certain comparative information presented on a constant currency basis eliminates the effects of changes in currency exchange rates. None of this information is a substitute for or superior to financial information about us presented in EUR, which is the currency of our primary financial statements.

Forward-looking statements

The statements contained in this press release that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements as defined in the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The following are words that identify such forward-looking statements: aim, believe, estimate, target, intend, may, expect, anticipate, predict, project, counting on, plan, continue, want, forecast, goal, should, would, is confident, will, and similar expressions as they relate to our company. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which merely reflect company expectations at the time of writing. Actual results may differ materially from expectations conveyed in forward-looking statements due to changes caused by various risks and uncertainties. Such risks and uncertainties include but are not limited to the following:

¿  

Changes in general economic conditions, particularly in the United States, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom;

¿  

Changes in the performance of financial markets, including emerging markets, such as with regard to:

¿  

The frequency and severity of defaults by issuers in our fixed income investment portfolios; and

¿  

The effects of corporate bankruptcies and/or accounting restatements on the financial markets and the resulting decline in the value of equity and debt securities we hold;

¿  

The frequency and severity of insured loss events;

¿  

Changes affecting mortality, morbidity and other factors that may impact the profitability of our insurance products;

¿  

Changes affecting interest rate levels and continuing low or rapidly changing interest rate levels;

¿  

Changes affecting currency exchange rates, in particular the EUR/USD and EUR/GBP exchange rates;

¿  

Increasing levels of competition in the United States, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and emerging markets;

¿  

Changes in laws and regulations, particularly those affecting our operations, the products we sell, and the attractiveness of certain products to our consumers;

¿  

Regulatory changes relating to the insurance industry in the jurisdictions in which we operate;

¿  

Acts of God, acts of terrorism, acts of war and pandemics;

¿  

Effects of deliberations of the European Commission regarding the aid we received from the Dutch State in December 2008;

¿  

Changes in the policies of central banks and/or governments;

¿  

Lowering of one or more of our debt ratings issued by recognized rating organizations and the adverse impact such action may have on our ability to raise capital and on our liquidity and financial condition;

¿  

Lowering of one or more of insurer financial strength ratings of our insurance subsidiaries and the adverse impact such action may have on the premium writings, policy retention, profitability of its insurance subsidiaries and liquidity;

¿  

The effect of the European Union’s Solvency II requirements and other regulations in other jurisdictions affecting the capital we are required to maintain;

¿  

Litigation or regulatory action that could require us to pay significant damages or change the way we do business;

¿  

Customer responsiveness to both new products and distribution channels;

¿  

Competitive, legal, regulatory, or tax changes that affect the distribution cost of or demand for our products;

¿  

The impact of acquisitions and divestitures, restructurings, product withdrawals and other unusual items, including our ability to integrate acquisitions and to obtain the anticipated results and synergies from acquisitions;

¿  

Our failure to achieve anticipated levels of earnings or operational efficiencies as well as other cost saving initiatives; and

¿  

The impact our adoption of the International Financial Reporting Standards may have on our reported financial results and financial condition.

Further details of potential risks and uncertainties affecting the company are described in the company’s filings with Euronext Amsterdam and the US Securities and Exchange Commission, including the Annual Report on Form 20-F. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this document. Except as required by any applicable law or regulation, the company expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in the company’s expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.

 

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AEGON N.V.

Group Corporate Communications & Investor Relations

 

Analysts & Investors    +31 (0)70 344 83 05
   +1 877 548 9668 – toll free USA only
E-mail    ir@aegon.com
Media    +31(0)703448344
E-mail    gcc-ir@aegon.com

Website: www.aegon.com

 

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