GameStop trades at $27.14 per share and has stayed right on track with the overall market, gaining 21.6% over the last six months. At the same time, the S&P 500 has returned 18.6%.
Is there a buying opportunity in GameStop, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Check out our in-depth research report to see what our analysts have to say, it’s free.
Why Do We Think GameStop Will Underperform?
We're swiping left on GameStop for now. Here are three reasons why GME doesn't excite us and a stock we'd rather own.
Note that our analysis is rooted in fundamentals, not meme-stock technicals.
1. Revenue Spiraling Downwards
Reviewing a company’s long-term sales performance reveals insights into its quality. Any business can experience short-term success, but top-performing ones enjoy sustained growth for years. GameStop’s demand was weak over the last six years as its sales fell at a 11.2% annual rate. This was below our standards and signals it’s a low quality business.

2. Revenue Projections Show Stormy Skies Ahead
Forecasted revenues by Wall Street analysts signal a company’s potential. Predictions may not always be accurate, but accelerating growth typically boosts valuation multiples and stock prices while slowing growth does the opposite.
Over the next 12 months, sell-side analysts expect GameStop’s revenue to drop by 13.4%, a decrease from This projection is underwhelming and indicates its products will face some demand challenges.
3. Previous Growth Initiatives Have Lost Money
Growth gives us insight into a company’s long-term potential, but how capital-efficient was that growth? Enter ROIC, a metric showing how much operating profit a company generates relative to the money it has raised (debt and equity).
GameStop’s five-year average ROIC was negative 12.6%, meaning management lost money while trying to expand the business. Its returns were among the worst in the consumer retail sector.
Final Judgment
We cheer for all companies serving everyday consumers, but in the case of GameStop, we’ll be cheering from the sidelines. That said, the stock currently trades at 49.5× forward P/E (or $27.14 per share). At this valuation, there’s a lot of good news priced in - we think there are better opportunities elsewhere. We’d suggest looking at one of Charlie Munger’s all-time favorite businesses.
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