
Over the past six months, EnerSys has been a great trade, beating the S&P 500 by 12%. Its stock price has climbed to $197.72, representing a healthy 21.4% increase. This was partly thanks to its solid quarterly results, and the run-up might have investors contemplating their next move.
Is there a buying opportunity in EnerSys, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Get the full breakdown from our expert analysts, it’s free.
Why Is EnerSys Not Exciting?
We’re glad investors have benefited from the price increase, but we’re swiping left on EnerSys for now. Here are three reasons you should be careful with ENS, plus one stock we’d rather own.
1. Sales Volumes Stall, Demand Waning
Revenue growth can be broken down into changes in price and volume (the number of units sold). While both are important, volume is the lifeblood of a successful Renewable Energy company because there’s a ceiling to what customers will pay.
Over the last two years, EnerSys failed to grow its units sold. This performance was underwhelming and implies there may be increasing competition or market saturation. It also suggests EnerSys might have to lower prices or invest in product improvements to accelerate growth, factors that can hinder near-term profitability. 
2. Projected Revenue Growth Is Slim
Forecasted revenues by Wall Street analysts signal a company’s potential. Predictions may not always be accurate, but accelerating growth typically boosts valuation multiples and stock prices while slowing growth does the opposite.
Over the next 12 months, sell-side analysts expect EnerSys’s revenue to rise by 4.1%. While this projection implies its newer products and services will catalyze better top-line performance, it is still below the sector average.
3. Low Gross Margin Reveals Weak Structural Profitability
All else equal, we prefer higher gross margins because they make it easier to generate more operating profits and indicate that a company commands pricing power by offering more differentiated products.
EnerSys has bad unit economics for an industrials company, giving it less room to reinvest and develop new offerings. As you can see below, it averaged a 26.6% gross margin over the last five years. That means EnerSys paid its suppliers a lot of money ($73.40 for every $100 in revenue) to run its business.

Final Judgment
EnerSys isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our bar. With its shares beating the market recently, the stock trades at 17.1× forward P/E (or $197.72 per share). This valuation is reasonable, but the company’s shakier fundamentals present too much downside risk. We’re fairly confident there are better investments elsewhere. We’d suggest looking at a top digital advertising platform riding the creator economy.
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