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Middleby’s (NASDAQ:MIDD) Q2 CY2026 Sales Beat Estimates But Full-Year Sales Guidance Misses Expectations Significantly

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Kitchen product manufacturer Middleby (NASDAQ: MIDD) reported Q2 CY2026 results topping the market’s revenue expectations, but sales fell by 10.5% year on year to $875.5 million. On the other hand, next quarter’s revenue guidance of $630 million was less impressive, coming in 0.6% below analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $2.35 per share was 12.3% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy Middleby? Find out by accessing our full research report, it’s free.

Middleby (MIDD) Q2 CY2026 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $875.5 million vs analyst estimates of $612.4 million (10.5% year-on-year decline, 43% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $2.35 vs analyst estimates of $2.09 (12.3% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $193.2 million vs analyst estimates of $159 million (22.1% margin, 21.5% beat)
  • The company dropped its revenue guidance for the full year to $2.51 billion at the midpoint from $3.4 billion, a 26.3% decrease
  • Management lowered its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to $6.81 at the midpoint, a 29.2% decrease
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $580 million at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $656.4 million
  • Operating Margin: 16.9%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow Margin: 10.2%, similar to the same quarter last year
  • Organic Revenue rose 6.4% year on year (miss)
  • Market Capitalization: $5.89 billion

Company Overview

Holding a Guinness World Record for creating the world’s fastest conveyor pizza oven, Middleby (NASDAQ: MIDD) is a food service and equipment manufacturer.

Revenue Growth

Reviewing a company’s long-term sales performance reveals insights into its quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one grows for years. Regrettably, Middleby’s sales grew at a sluggish 4% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. This was below our standard for the industrials sector and is a poor baseline for our analysis.

Middleby Quarterly Revenue

We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within industrials, a half-decade historical view may miss cycles, industry trends, or a company capitalizing on catalysts such as a new contract win or a successful product line. Middleby’s performance shows it grew in the past but relinquished its gains over the last two years, as its revenue fell by 4.5% annually. Middleby Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

We can dig further into the company’s sales dynamics by analyzing its organic revenue, which strips out one-time events like acquisitions and currency fluctuations that don’t accurately reflect its fundamentals. Over the last two years, Middleby’s organic revenue was flat. Because this number is better than its two-year revenue growth, we can see that some mixture of divestitures and foreign exchange rates dampened its headline results. Middleby Organic Revenue Growth

This quarter, Middleby’s revenue fell by 10.5% year on year to $875.5 million but beat Wall Street’s estimates by 43%. Company management is currently guiding for a 35.9% year-on-year decline in sales next quarter.

Looking further ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to decline by 28.8% over the next 12 months, a deceleration versus the last two years. This projection doesn’t excite us and indicates its products and services will face some demand challenges.

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Operating Margin

Operating margin is one of the best measures of profitability because it tells us how much money a company takes home after procuring and manufacturing its products, marketing and selling those products, and most importantly, keeping them relevant through research and development.

Middleby has been an efficient company over the last five years. It was one of the more profitable businesses in the industrials sector, boasting an average operating margin of 13.2%. This result isn’t surprising as its high gross margin gives it a favorable starting point.

Analyzing the trend in its profitability, Middleby’s operating margin decreased by 21.4 percentage points over the last five years. This raises questions about the company’s expense base because its revenue growth should have given it leverage on its fixed costs, resulting in better economies of scale and profitability.

Middleby Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

In Q2, Middleby generated an operating margin profit margin of 16.9%, in line with the same quarter last year. This indicates the company’s cost structure has recently been stable.

Earnings Per Share

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) for the same reason as long-term revenue growth. Compared to revenue, however, EPS highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.

Middleby’s EPS grew at 6.3% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. This performance was better than its revenue growth but doesn’t tell us much about its business quality because its operating margin improvement was less than peers.

Middleby Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

We can take a deeper look into Middleby’s earnings to better understand the drivers of its performance. A five-year view shows that Middleby has repurchased its stock, shrinking its share count by 20%. This tells us its EPS outperformed its revenue not because of increased operational efficiency but financial engineering, as buybacks boost per share earnings. Middleby Diluted Shares Outstanding

Like with revenue, we analyze EPS over a more recent period because it can provide insight into an emerging theme or development for the business.

For Middleby, EPS didn’t budge over the last two years, a regression from its five-year trend. We hope it can revert to earnings growth in the coming years.

In Q2, Middleby reported adjusted EPS of $2.35, in line with the same quarter last year. This print easily cleared analysts’ estimates, and shareholders should be content with the results. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Middleby’s full-year EPS to shrink by 19.9% from $9.30 to $7.45.

Key Takeaways from Middleby’s Q2 Results

We were impressed by how significantly Middleby blew past analysts’ EBITDA expectations this quarter. We were also excited its revenue outperformed Wall Street’s estimates by a wide margin. On the other hand, its full-year revenue guidance missed and its full-year EBITDA guidance fell short of Wall Street’s estimates. Overall, this quarter could have been better. The stock traded down 3% to $126.40 immediately after reporting.

Middleby didn’t show its best hand this quarter, but does that create an opportunity to buy the stock right now? When making that decision, it’s important to consider its valuation, business qualities, as well as what has happened in the latest quarter. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here (it’s free).

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