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7-10 Year Treasury Bond Ishares ETF (NQ: IEF )

94.04 +0.63 (+0.67%)
Official Closing Price Updated: 4:15 PM EST, Dec 1, 2023 Add to My Watchlist
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The Mythical Recession, Business Cycle, And The Markets
A discussion about why Wall Street missed the turning point. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Economy
Markets Calmer As PBOC Papers Over Cracks
The slight positive tone in markets was perhaps triggered by China ramping up its efforts to stem losses in the yuan. 
Via Talk Markets
US Recession Risk For Q3 Continues To Fade
It’s been clear for some time that US recession risk has been sliding in recent months, but this week’s updates of a widely followed GDP nowcast has been revised up, a lot, for the third quarter. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Economy
US Inflation: Fiscal Policy Incompatible With Monetary Policy
The US economy showed unexpected resilience in the final quarter, and the record activity is undoubtedly behind the upturn in inflation in the country. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Economy Interest Rates
AI Stocks Bubble Popping Or Buy The Dip?
A break down of the trade action in today's sell side activity, and a closer look at AI stocks. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Artificial Intelligence
Exposures Artificial Intelligence
Have Bonds Finally Reached Escape Velocity?
Higher bond yields create a sort of escape velocity at some point where the interest payments offset the interest rate risk. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Bonds
Exposures Debt Markets
No GDP Downturn Forecasted: SPF
In contrast to the July WSJ survey, the just-released Survey of Professional Forecasters mean forecast shows no negative GDP growth. 
Via Talk Markets
What America’s Debt Downgrade Means For Investors
Fitch’s downgrade could make our debt more expensive. Typically, the lower the rating, the higher the interest rate the issuer has to pay. 
Via Talk Markets
Larry Summers Predicts 10-Year Yields Will Hit 4.75% Or Higher In Next Decade As Economy Shifts To 'New Era'
Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers says rising government deficits and increasing inflation will factor into a 4.75% or higher yield on 10-year Treasuries in the decade ahead. 
Via Benzinga
Topics Economy
Exposures Economy Interest Rates
Has Treasury Market Misjudged Timing For Peak Rates… Again?
For much of the year, the bond market has been embracing expectations that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate increases have peaked, or were about to peak. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Bonds Economy
Exposures Debt Markets Interest Rates
Your Mid-August Market Update: Selling And Scanning
Stock indexes slid 1% today with bonds closing weaker, down at 2023 lows as interest rates traded up to highs in 2023. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Bonds
Exposures Debt Markets
Gold The Big Five Come Alive
Five major fundamental and technical events need to occur for a major buy alert for gold and silver stocks. 
Via Talk Markets
Weekly Market Pulse: A Positive Feedback Loop?
If real interest rates reflect investment demand in the real economy – and that’s pretty standard theory – then rising real rates is obviously a positive sign for the future. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Economy
Things That Make Me Go Hmmmm…
A look at three current charts that influence my thinking about markets as we enter a seasonally difficult period. 
Via Talk Markets
Rates Spark: Action At Both Ends Of The Curve
In the US, we reiterate the notion that the 10yr yield can't really break lower, as there is no room to do so. 
Via Talk Markets
What If Disinflation Is Just An Illusion?
That may, in fact, be the message in the bond market… 
Via Talk Markets
Greenback Remains Firm, With Yen And Aussie Falling To New 2023 Lows
The dollar and US rates remain firm. The greenback rose to new highs for the year against the Japanese yen and Australian dollar before steadying. 
Via Talk Markets
CoT: Peeking Into Future Through Futures, Hedge Funds Positioning
Equity bears who were zealously shorting at/near the low from last October contributed massively to the rally that followed. Between that low (3492) and the high of July 27 (4607), the S&P 500 shot up... 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Stocks
Exposures US Equities
Technical Market Report For August 12, 2023
The breadth indicators are all headed downward. Seasonality is modestly negative for the coming week. 
Via Talk Markets
Biden Sours The Sentiment By Calling China A "Ticking Time Bomb," Hotter PPI Against Stock Market Momo Narrative; Money Flows Negative In Apple, Tesla, And Nvidia
To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today. 
Via Benzinga
Dollar Proves Resilient And Even Strong UK GDP Figures Hardly Dents It
The dollar's resilience after initially selling off in response to the as-expected CPI was impressive. 
Via Talk Markets
10-Year US Treasury Yield ‘Fair Value’ Estimate - Friday, Aug. 11
The 10-year rate closed at 4.09% yesterday, modestly above the level when last month’s fair-value estimate was updated (3.86%). 
Via Talk Markets
Inflation, Disinflation, And Misinformation
A look at the CPI data to see if inflation remains high or if we are being misinformed. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
The Greenback Is Softer Ahead Of CPI But Key Chart Points Remain Intact
The focus is on today's July US CPI. Given the base effect, the 0.2% rise economists are largely looking for, will translate into the first rise in the year-over-year rate since June 2022 when it... 
Via Talk Markets
After Strong Demand For US Three-Year Notes, Treasury Will Sell $38 Bln 10-Year Notes
The Treasury sells $38 bln 10-year notes, whose auctions have been less than stellar recently. The US 10-year yield reached 4.20% last week and is now straddling 4%. 
Via Talk Markets
Markets Continue To Signal A Risk-On Bias Prevails
The recent rally in risk assets has confounded some analysts, but right or wrong the revival in animal spirits still has momentum, based on several proxies of market behavior via ETF pairs through... 
Via Talk Markets
Asia Morning Bites - Monday, Aug. 7
Asian Markets have yet to fully respond to Friday's mixed payrolls report. Indonesian 2Q23 GDP today 
Via Talk Markets
Peek Into Future Thru Futures, CoT; How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Via Talk Markets
A Rally Back, Or Ready For Another Smack?
If inflation upticks expect volume to rage. 
Via Talk Markets
Rates Rocket Again While Metals Hold Their Ground
Typically, on this kind of move in bonds, gold and silver sell off as banks balance their books, but not this time. 
Via Talk Markets
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