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Semtech’s (NASDAQ:SMTC) Q1 Sales Top Estimates, Stock Soars

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Semiconductor company Semtech (NASDAQ: SMTC) reported revenue ahead of Wall Street’s expectations in Q1 CY2026, with sales up 15.9% year on year to $291 million. On top of that, next quarter’s revenue guidance ($328 million at the midpoint) was surprisingly good and 9.2% above what analysts were expecting. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.51 per share was 12.7% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

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Semtech (SMTC) Q1 CY2026 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $291 million vs analyst estimates of $283.7 million (15.9% year-on-year growth, 2.6% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.51 vs analyst estimates of $0.45 (12.7% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $66.4 million vs analyst estimates of $55.76 million (22.8% margin, 19.1% beat)
  • Revenue Guidance for Q2 CY2026 is $328 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $300.4 million
  • Adjusted EPS guidance for Q2 CY2026 is $0.61 at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $0.51
  • EBITDA guidance for Q2 CY2026 is $79.2 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $58.98 million
  • Operating Margin: 8.9%, down from 14.3% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow Margin: 9.6%, similar to the same quarter last year
  • Inventory Days Outstanding: 135, down from 154 in the previous quarter
  • Market Capitalization: $14.6 billion

Company Overview

A public company since the late 1960s, Semtech (NASDAQ: SMTC) is a provider of analog and mixed-signal semiconductors used for Internet of Things systems and cloud connectivity.

Revenue Growth

Reviewing a company’s long-term sales performance reveals insights into its quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but many enduring ones grow for years. Luckily, Semtech’s sales grew at a solid 11.5% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. Its growth beat the average semiconductor company and shows its offerings resonate with customers. Semiconductors are a cyclical industry, and long-term investors should be prepared for periods of high growth followed by periods of revenue contractions.

Semtech Quarterly Revenue

Long-term growth is the most important, but short-term results matter for semiconductors because the rapid pace of technological innovation (Moore's Law) could make yesterday's hit product obsolete today. Semtech’s annualized revenue growth of 14% over the last two years is above its five-year trend, suggesting its demand was strong and recently accelerated. Semtech Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

This quarter, Semtech reported year-on-year revenue growth of 15.9%, and its $291 million of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 2.6%. Beyond the beat, this marks 7 straight quarters of growth, showing that the current upcycle has had a good run - a typical upcycle usually lasts 8-10 quarters. Company management is currently guiding for a 27.3% year-on-year increase in sales next quarter.

Looking further ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 17.2% over the next 12 months. While this projection suggests its newer products and services will fuel better top-line performance, it is still below average for the sector.

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Product Demand & Outstanding Inventory

Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO) is an important metric for chipmakers, as it reflects a business’ capital intensity and the cyclical nature of semiconductor supply and demand. In a tight supply environment, inventories tend to be stable, allowing chipmakers to exert pricing power. Steadily increasing DIO can be a warning sign that demand is weak, and if inventories continue to rise, the company may have to downsize production.

This quarter, Semtech’s DIO came in at 135, which is 19 days below its five-year average. At the moment, these numbers show no indication of an excessive inventory buildup.

Semtech Inventory Days Outstanding

Key Takeaways from Semtech’s Q1 Results

We were impressed by Semtech’s strong improvement in inventory levels. We were also glad its EPS outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. Zooming out, we think this was a solid print. The stock traded up 5.4% to $174.49 immediately after reporting.

Indeed, Semtech had a rock-solid quarterly earnings result, but is this stock a good investment here? If you’re making that decision, you should consider the bigger picture of valuation, business qualities, as well as the latest earnings. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here (it’s free).

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