What Happened?
Shares of business analytics software company MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) fell 3.2% in the morning session after a nearly 4% drop in Bitcoin's price weighed on crypto-related stocks, amid growing concerns over the company's valuation and fundamentals. The downturn in Bitcoin was linked to a hotter-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) report, a key measure of inflation that can influence investor sentiment towards riskier assets. This macro news compounded existing investor worries specific to Strategy.
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What Is The Market Telling Us
MicroStrategy’s shares are extremely volatile and have had 77 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.
The previous big move we wrote about was about 21 hours ago when the stock dropped 4.6% on the news that markets pulled back as a hotter-than-expected wholesale inflation report for July dampened hopes for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut. The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI), a key measure of wholesale inflation, rose 0.9% month-over-month in July, far exceeding the 0.2% increase that economists had predicted. Annually, prices at the wholesale level jumped 3.3%, also surpassing the 2.5% forecast. This hotter-than-expected data has poured cold water on widespread expectations for an interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve next month. Persistent inflation makes it less likely for the central bank to ease monetary policy. Sectors with high-growth stocks, such as SaaS, are particularly sensitive to interest rate changes, as the prospect of higher rates for longer can diminish the present value of their future earnings, leading to a decline in stock prices.
MicroStrategy is up 20.4% since the beginning of the year, but at $361.16 per share, it is still trading 23.8% below its 52-week high of $473.83 from November 2024. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of MicroStrategy’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $25,108.
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